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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 18, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Wizards67%99114
30Bobcats33%93119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 26.3
35.1
33.6
12
65%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
4-5
80%
1-1
2-5
100%
49%
2-6
33%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.5
33.0
33.0
25
60%
4
5
2
1
1
6
1
3
8-9
89%
7-16
6-12
44%
48%
1-1
100%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.5
29.7
26.0
17
58%
9
0
0
1
2
3
4
5
3-4
75%
7-13
5-8
54%
54%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.5
29.3
25.5
21
85%
7
7
0
1
1
1
2
5
3-3
100%
9-11
5-9
82%
54%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 26.9
28.0
32.2
17
87%
5
3
2
1
1
2
2
3
3-4
75%
4-6
3-5
67%
49%
2-2
100%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 27.7
29.0
17.0
7
70%
5
4
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
48%
1-3
33%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.3
26.6
20.4
4
29%
6
1
0
1
0
0
4
2
0-2
0%
2-6
3-5
33%
54%
0-0
-
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 19.7
19.8
28.5
5
28%
2
4
1
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
2-5
4-8
40%
47%
0-3
0%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 23.3
9.4
16.5
6
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.3
11.9
0
1-2
44%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.3
5.1
0
1-1
45%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 22.9
3.0
0
0-1
55%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.3
2.2
0
0-0
42%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.4
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.3
45.4
34.9
27
65%
3
8
1
1
1
2
1
2
10-11
91%
7-14
6-13
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 26.1
35.6
31.9
17
57%
7
3
2
1
0
2
3
4
7-9
78%
5-10
3-5
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 22.9
34.2
31.7
18
57%
3
7
3
2
0
0
1
2
2-4
50%
8-12
4-9
67%
44%
0-2
0%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 19.5
24.7
25.4
11
58%
7
2
1
1
0
0
2
5
1-1
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
46%
0-0
-
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 20.6
17.6
24.7
2
100%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
0-0
-
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.1
30.4
12.9
12
61%
5
5
0
0
1
0
0
5
2-4
50%
2-2
2-3
100%
45%
2-6
33%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.0
21.2
23.5
19
87%
3
0
0
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
4-5
3-7
80%
44%
3-5
60%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.4
18.5
13.7
11
55%
1
6
2
0
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
38%
3-6
50%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 33.3
7.3
8.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 27.1
5.1
9.1
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 23.8
15.4
0
1-2
48%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.5
5.0
0
0-1
51%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.6
4.3
0
1-1
42%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 31.1
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.