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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 18, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Mavericks48%98127
18Hawks52%99113
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.4
31.3
31.7
17
77%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
46%
3-4
75%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.7
30.2
31.8
22
81%
6
5
0
1
1
0
0
6
6-6
100%
5-9
5-10
56%
48%
2-2
100%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.7
27.0
27.7
4
22%
4
3
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
0-4
0%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 37.7
23.5
27.4
9
90%
2
3
2
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-6
0%
40%
3-4
75%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.9
21.2
7.9
14
64%
7
2
1
0
1
0
2
5
0-0
-
7-11
2-3
64%
48%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.6
30.0
22.9
24
78%
1
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
8-11
3-6
73%
48%
2-3
67%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36.1
24.3
25.3
13
72%
4
4
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
3-5
60%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.5
20.6
26.3
12
61%
8
2
1
1
0
1
4
4
2-2
100%
5-9
5-8
56%
58%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.5
13.5
1.5
8
82%
1
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
3-4
0-0
75%
43%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 34.0
12.8
19.5
4
45%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-1
0%
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.1
2.8
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Wright
G · 6'1" 210 · 23.4
2.8
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
40%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.1
10.8
0
1-2
48%
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.8
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.8
35.7
37.1
16
51%
11
4
2
1
0
2
1
10
2-4
50%
7-14
8-15
50%
55%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24.8
32.2
27.5
19
59%
2
7
2
1
0
3
1
1
5-7
71%
7-10
4-8
70%
49%
0-3
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 27.3
30.8
29.4
13
51%
5
6
1
1
1
4
2
3
3-4
75%
5-7
5-10
71%
50%
0-4
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 32.0
27.4
27.0
11
74%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
47%
2-5
40%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.1
23.1
18.8
10
63%
1
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
3-4
2-3
75%
51%
1-3
33%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.0
27.1
18.4
10
63%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
47%
2-3
67%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.8
25.1
12.8
12
123%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-2
1-1
100%
49%
2-2
100%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.9
15.8
16.3
10
69%
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
4-5
80%
3-5
3-5
60%
51%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.2
12.3
16.2
7
72%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
3-4
1-3
75%
43%
0-0
-
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 22.9
5.2
4.6
3
75%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 24.7
5.2
3.9
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 32.0
19.9
0
0-1
41%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 27.1
9.4
0
1-3
45%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 29.1
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.