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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 18, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat65%97105
22Celtics35%92103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.2
42.3
34.0
37
58%
7
12
2
1
2
5
1
6
4-6
67%
15-25
7-12
60%
55%
1-4
25%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 29.0
36.9
29.8
13
60%
5
2
0
1
2
1
0
5
1-2
50%
6-9
5-10
67%
52%
0-1
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.8
36.6
26.5
21
83%
3
2
2
1
1
2
1
2
5-6
83%
2-5
1-3
40%
48%
4-5
80%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.2
35.5
33.7
16
47%
7
6
3
2
0
2
1
6
2-5
40%
7-15
8-15
47%
51%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.8
17.4
19.6
4
50%
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.7
30.2
24.3
6
44%
5
1
2
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
0-3
0%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.5
16.5
22.5
6
60%
4
0
0
1
2
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
2-5
40%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.4
13.9
17.5
2
17%
0
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
43%
0-2
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34.7
10.8
15.3
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
54%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.1
5.2
0
0-0
44%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.6
4.9
0
0-1
50%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.5
3.8
0
0-0
39%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.6
3.6
0
0-1
46%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 40.1
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.5
40.3
30.5
13
65%
3
4
3
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
5-8
3-6
63%
49%
1-2
50%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.6
40.1
29.3
43
80%
7
2
2
1
4
2
1
6
10-13
77%
9-14
4-8
64%
49%
5-7
71%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.4
39.8
23.0
17
62%
8
8
1
1
1
7
1
7
3-6
50%
4-6
3-6
67%
47%
2-5
40%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.3
31.2
26.9
7
32%
3
2
0
1
1
4
1
2
0-0
-
2-9
3-7
22%
48%
1-2
50%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.9
29.6
27.3
6
60%
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.5
24.4
22.9
9
70%
2
4
2
1
0
4
0
2
1-1
100%
4-5
2-3
80%
49%
0-1
0%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.5
17.9
16.4
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
58%
0-0
-
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 24.4
16.8
19.8
8
46%
1
3
0
1
1
2
0
1
1-4
25%
2-3
2-5
67%
45%
1-4
25%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.8
15.4
1
3-6
50%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 29.3
10.4
0
1-3
46%
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.7
8.9
0
1-2
44%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.5
5.8
0
1-2
49%
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.7
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 21.0
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 27.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.