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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 18, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Nuggets56%99119
16Bulls44%97118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.6
38.8
29.9
11
50%
7
3
0
1
0
0
2
5
6-9
67%
1-4
3-6
25%
46%
1-3
33%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.1
38.1
31.7
12
38%
10
1
2
1
3
2
1
9
4-4
100%
1-8
3-6
13%
49%
2-6
33%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 25.4
35.9
31.7
13
42%
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-3
67%
4-11
4-9
36%
50%
1-3
33%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.1
21.1
24.7
4
29%
9
0
1
1
0
0
6
3
0-0
-
2-7
4-7
29%
57%
0-0
-
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.3
15.3
21.9
8
50%
2
0
0
1
1
1
2
0
0-0
-
4-8
4-7
50%
54%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.9
39.0
24.4
35
70%
9
4
2
1
0
2
2
7
8-9
89%
12-19
3-7
63%
47%
1-2
50%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 37.0
29.3
24.5
8
50%
6
13
0
1
0
3
3
3
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 27.0
25.4
22.2
16
58%
4
2
3
1
0
3
2
2
0-2
0%
5-7
3-7
71%
48%
2-6
33%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.2
22.0
13.6
12
75%
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
6-8
2-5
75%
55%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22.4
5.1
0
1-1
46%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 26.7
4.4
0
1-1
50%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.4
3.6
0
0-1
47%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 23.7
2.9
0
0-1
46%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.3
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.0
51.2
33.4
18
41%
8
2
4
1
0
0
2
6
4-4
100%
7-16
3-7
44%
44%
0-4
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.9
50.1
34.1
21
44%
2
5
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
8-18
5-10
44%
47%
1-5
20%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.8
46.2
29.1
34
73%
1
7
2
1
0
7
0
1
2-3
67%
7-14
4-8
50%
47%
6-8
75%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.3
41.6
31.3
14
59%
9
3
0
1
1
1
0
9
2-2
100%
6-11
7-14
55%
50%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.1
35.5
31.8
14
70%
12
6
0
1
7
5
3
9
0-0
-
7-10
4-9
70%
50%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.5
32.4
26.1
15
71%
7
4
1
1
3
0
4
3
6-8
75%
3-5
3-5
60%
50%
1-2
50%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.5
4.4
14.6
2
100%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.0
3.6
15.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
46%
0-2
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.2
10.3
0
1-1
45%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.9
9.2
0
1-1
38%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.3
5.7
0
0-1
43%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 35.1
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.7
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.