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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 18, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Warriors47%10093
19Hornets53%10172
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.0
38.7
37.7
30
72%
7
3
0
1
0
7
1
6
4-4
100%
4-10
5-10
40%
48%
6-9
67%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 23.1
33.2
36.6
13
43%
5
1
1
1
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
2-9
4-9
22%
47%
3-6
50%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 28.3
30.5
26.6
8
67%
9
5
1
1
4
1
1
8
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
51%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.9
29.9
30.6
20
86%
11
4
0
1
1
3
4
7
6-6
100%
7-9
6-12
78%
52%
0-0
-
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.8
21.5
19.9
7
61%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
2-4
2-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.4
31.0
28.5
9
48%
2
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
3-7
4-8
43%
48%
1-2
50%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.5
16.9
14.6
4
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.0
12.8
10.8
0
0%
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.4
12.8
13.0
0
0%
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 32.7
7.3
7.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 23.7
5.5
5.2
2
50%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.0
4.2
0
0-0
58%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 26.2
32.5
36.6
14
61%
3
9
2
1
0
4
1
2
1-1
100%
5-9
6-12
56%
47%
1-2
50%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 20.0
31.9
27.7
16
62%
7
0
2
1
1
3
4
3
2-2
100%
7-12
6-11
58%
52%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 25.0
21.8
28.8
4
20%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-10
5-9
20%
53%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.5
19.7
19.3
3
21%
2
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
47%
1-4
25%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.5
12.5
28.0
2
20%
3
0
1
1
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
0-4
3-6
0%
47%
0-0
-
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.0
35.5
6.3
4
40%
5
2
0
0
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-5
0-1
40%
46%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.9
28.5
26.7
21
49%
9
1
1
1
0
0
3
6
6-6
100%
6-13
3-6
46%
49%
1-6
17%
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.6
28.3
4.7
4
29%
5
1
1
0
2
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
45%
0-3
0%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.3
15.5
13.5
2
17%
2
1
0
0
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.3
12.7
11.3
2
33%
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.9
1.1
8.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.2
26.4
1
4-9
48%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 22.0
4.0
0
0-1
43%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.6
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 27.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.