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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 19, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Magic28%9173
11Pacers72%9995
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 31.1
32.9
38.4
8
29%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-8
4-8
0%
44%
2-5
40%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.4
32.8
37.3
10
34%
3
3
0
1
1
2
0
3
4-4
100%
3-11
5-11
27%
48%
0-2
0%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.7
32.4
32.3
6
22%
9
2
0
1
2
1
3
6
0-2
0%
3-9
4-9
33%
47%
0-4
0%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.9
31.1
34.0
10
39%
8
0
4
1
1
0
4
4
1-2
50%
3-10
4-7
30%
49%
1-2
50%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.4
30.5
36.9
9
33%
11
1
1
1
0
2
2
9
1-4
25%
4-12
6-12
33%
49%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24.1
18.6
15.7
8
57%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
42%
0-2
0%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23.0
17.5
6.1
2
35%
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
4
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.7
16.5
14.7
9
58%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
3-6
2-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.3
15.6
5.4
8
50%
2
1
0
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-8
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.7
6.7
3.8
3
104%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.4
5.4
5.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
38%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.1
6.0
0
1-1
46%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 34.0
4.7
0
0-1
43%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.9
31.2
29.5
14
64%
7
2
0
1
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
52%
2-4
50%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.9
28.4
31.2
19
60%
5
2
0
2
1
2
0
5
4-4
100%
6-11
3-7
55%
49%
1-3
33%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 27.4
27.4
19.1
14
41%
14
1
1
1
1
1
9
5
6-7
86%
4-14
3-6
29%
46%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 22.5
25.6
27.3
4
34%
3
3
1
1
1
3
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
52%
0-3
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 26.3
24.0
29.4
9
48%
5
1
0
1
1
1
1
4
3-3
100%
3-8
6-12
38%
49%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.9
20.6
13.0
4
33%
5
0
2
0
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
53%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 27.1
19.6
10.8
15
58%
8
2
0
0
0
1
0
8
0-0
-
3-7
1-2
43%
47%
3-6
50%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.4
19.1
14.2
9
67%
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
3-4
75%
3-5
2-4
60%
52%
0-0
-
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.0
18.4
17.3
4
40%
8
5
0
0
1
0
0
8
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
0-3
0%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 25.4
12.7
16.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-3
0%
Ben Hansbrough
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.2
4.5
3.8
2
53%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-1
0%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 24.5
4.5
3.6
1
17%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
0-2
1-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 27.8
4.0
8.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.9
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.