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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 20, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Magic20%9394
8Knicks80%104106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.9
35.4
32.1
11
42%
6
0
3
1
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
4-10
4-7
40%
50%
1-3
33%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.7
30.7
31.7
14
70%
5
0
0
1
0
5
2
3
0-0
-
7-9
4-9
78%
48%
0-1
0%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.4
29.5
34.7
4
20%
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-6
5-11
17%
49%
0-3
0%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24.1
28.2
17.0
5
36%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
44%
1-3
33%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 31.1
24.0
35.6
6
38%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
3-8
50%
44%
1-5
20%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23.0
25.1
11.3
12
51%
14
4
0
0
0
3
5
9
2-4
50%
5-10
2-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.7
24.0
15.5
13
70%
3
8
0
0
0
2
0
3
3-3
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
49%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.3
18.5
10.6
14
66%
3
0
1
0
0
3
1
2
4-6
67%
5-8
2-4
63%
50%
0-0
-
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.7
18.5
5.7
9
90%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-1
75%
46%
1-1
100%
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.4
6.1
6.1
6
123%
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
40%
1-1
100%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.4
33.5
1
6-11
50%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 34.0
4.9
0
0-1
44%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.1
4.8
0
1-1
47%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.8
32.6
27.1
21
63%
8
0
1
1
1
3
1
7
4-6
67%
4-9
5-10
44%
50%
3-5
60%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 35.2
28.2
22.1
11
75%
3
0
1
1
0
0
2
1
1-3
33%
5-6
3-5
83%
51%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 28.7
25.4
35.0
7
44%
2
4
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
4-9
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.8
19.5
15.4
6
150%
4
5
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
2-2
100%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 22.7
14.2
19.8
7
72%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
46%
1-2
50%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 27.5
37.7
31.4
22
60%
7
2
0
1
1
0
1
6
4-5
80%
6-10
4-9
60%
48%
2-6
33%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 29.8
26.0
15.8
11
69%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
3-7
43%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 40.0
22.6
23.8
5
83%
2
5
3
1
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 29.0
20.3
23.2
9
45%
3
0
0
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
54%
1-4
25%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 39.0
7.0
11.8
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.4
6.4
4.6
7
88%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
51%
1-2
50%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 30.5
11.0
0
1-2
65%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 40.5
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.3
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 38.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.