for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 20, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Thunder49%9589
7Grizzlies51%9690
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.5
48.0
37.7
32
49%
8
3
0
1
1
4
3
5
9-10
90%
10-24
7-13
42%
51%
1-4
25%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
40.8
34.5
20
35%
4
3
3
2
0
2
2
2
6-8
75%
7-19
7-15
37%
46%
0-6
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.4
32.6
25.7
0
0%
15
1
0
0
0
3
2
13
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.5
22.3
28.6
4
40%
7
0
1
0
2
3
3
4
0-0
-
2-5
4-7
40%
54%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.9
19.9
27.6
5
69%
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
5-6
83%
0-0
2-3
-
51%
0-1
0%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 30.1
33.4
22.7
17
56%
1
0
2
1
0
1
0
1
4-5
80%
5-9
2-4
56%
45%
1-4
25%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.4
29.4
21.5
4
106%
5
2
1
1
2
1
2
3
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
57%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 22.9
22.6
16.2
7
64%
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
1-1
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
47%
0-1
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 38.6
11.1
12.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
38%
0-2
0%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 26.1
5.0
5.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.5
4.4
0
1-1
45%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.0
4.1
0
0-1
44%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 22.6
3.1
0
0-1
46%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.8
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 25.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.4
47.8
34.6
24
51%
7
5
2
2
1
1
3
4
5-6
83%
8-16
4-9
50%
47%
1-5
20%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 33.1
43.3
32.5
7
27%
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-11
4-9
18%
45%
1-2
50%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.1
42.5
35.5
14
48%
15
1
0
1
2
3
3
12
4-6
67%
5-12
6-12
42%
51%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.7
42.2
33.5
15
30%
18
0
0
1
0
7
7
11
3-4
75%
6-23
6-12
26%
48%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 31.2
34.7
23.4
8
50%
6
2
2
1
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
4-8
3-7
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.6
28.1
23.0
20
79%
2
1
1
1
0
3
1
1
6-6
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
46%
4-6
67%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.0
14.9
19.9
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-2
0%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.8
6.2
16.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
53%
0-0
-
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 19.9
5.2
6.5
2
114%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.8
0.1
7.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.0
4.3
0
1-2
48%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 23.8
2.3
0
0-1
48%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 25.0
1.7
0
0-1
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.