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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 20, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Celtics49%9586
23Hornets51%9687
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.5
36.7
33.6
5
83%
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
50%
1-1
100%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.3
34.8
28.4
5
23%
5
4
5
1
1
2
1
4
1-2
50%
2-5
4-7
40%
49%
0-5
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.4
33.3
29.7
28
68%
2
5
1
1
2
3
0
2
8-8
100%
7-14
3-7
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.9
31.4
27.8
11
65%
6
2
1
1
1
2
2
4
1-1
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
49%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.8
29.2
11.5
20
59%
6
3
3
0
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
9-16
2-5
56%
51%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.6
26.5
33.0
13
67%
2
0
1
1
2
1
0
2
4-4
100%
3-7
5-9
43%
51%
1-1
100%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 24.4
21.9
18.3
4
40%
3
1
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
0-2
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.5
20.0
23.0
0
0%
3
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
50%
0-2
0%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.5
6.1
16.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
59%
0-0
-
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 29.3
6.8
0
1-2
47%
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.7
5.7
0
1-2
44%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.6
4.0
0
1-1
50%
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.7
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 21.0
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 27.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 26.2
32.6
34.3
13
57%
7
6
0
1
0
4
0
7
2-3
67%
4-7
5-11
57%
47%
1-3
33%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.2
31.2
18.7
18
49%
2
3
0
1
0
3
0
2
6-8
75%
6-12
3-6
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.5
29.1
22.2
4
67%
9
1
2
1
1
1
3
6
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 20.0
28.0
28.5
9
57%
8
1
1
1
2
4
2
6
1-2
50%
4-7
6-11
57%
52%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 25.0
23.1
25.8
4
40%
4
1
0
0
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
4-9
40%
52%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.9
31.7
26.9
21
62%
5
1
0
1
0
3
3
2
9-11
82%
3-7
3-7
43%
49%
2-5
40%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.3
17.7
14.0
12
76%
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
2-2
100%
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.6
17.2
12.7
0
0%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.0
17.1
16.9
2
25%
4
1
0
0
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.3
9.2
11.5
4
40%
1
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
43%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.9
3.0
6.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.5
19.0
0
1-3
46%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 22.0
3.7
0
0-1
43%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.6
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 27.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.