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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 20, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Jazz29%10193
6Rockets71%108100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 28.2
42.9
30.2
18
46%
11
4
2
1
0
3
2
9
0-1
0%
9-19
7-15
47%
49%
0-0
-
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 23.0
42.0
33.2
27
73%
8
2
1
1
0
1
0
8
6-8
75%
6-11
4-8
55%
46%
3-4
75%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 29.5
27.6
19.1
7
35%
2
0
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
41%
1-6
17%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 28.1
24.9
26.5
16
68%
4
2
2
1
1
2
2
2
4-4
100%
6-10
5-10
60%
50%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 30.3
24.1
28.7
4
29%
1
6
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-8
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 21.7
24.2
14.2
11
54%
4
2
1
0
0
1
0
4
5-5
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 21.7
22.7
23.3
5
51%
3
2
1
1
3
2
0
3
1-2
50%
2-4
4-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 26.8
20.8
24.4
2
33%
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 35.1
5.7
7.9
3
75%
0
0
1
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
1-2
50%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 20.8
5.1
16.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
53%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 33.8
14.2
1
1-2
43%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.6
8.0
0
1-2
49%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 25.4
5.1
0
1-1
56%
Kevin Murphy
G · 6'6" 185 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.4
38.1
33.5
10
50%
8
3
1
1
0
1
0
8
0-0
-
5-6
4-7
83%
54%
0-4
0%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.6
38.0
37.5
29
66%
2
3
2
2
1
3
0
2
17-18
94%
3-8
4-8
38%
52%
2-6
33%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.7
35.0
27.5
9
46%
12
0
0
1
1
3
4
8
3-4
75%
3-8
3-6
38%
55%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.6
30.2
32.3
24
77%
2
6
0
2
0
2
0
2
5-6
83%
8-12
4-8
67%
50%
1-1
100%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.5
26.5
21.4
5
28%
5
0
1
0
1
2
1
4
0-2
0%
1-4
3-5
25%
56%
1-4
25%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.6
24.3
23.0
9
56%
4
1
2
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
46%
1-5
20%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.7
17.8
14.0
7
58%
2
2
3
1
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 22.0
17.1
9.2
4
29%
6
0
0
0
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.2
13.0
17.5
3
52%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-2
3-4
50%
60%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.2
10.6
0
1-1
45%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.2
5.6
0
1-1
48%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 24.0
4.0
0
0-1
48%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.2
2.1
0
0-1
50%
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.9
Tim Ohlbrecht
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 24.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.