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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 20, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Nets39%98113
9Mavericks61%10196
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.7
40.9
32.2
31
59%
3
6
0
1
0
3
0
3
2-3
67%
10-17
4-8
59%
48%
3-8
38%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 25.0
37.3
28.1
38
72%
11
1
1
0
2
3
7
4
8-10
80%
15-22
6-13
68%
51%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.7
31.9
30.4
9
38%
2
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-9
3-7
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 32.8
31.7
27.2
4
40%
22
0
0
1
0
1
5
17
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.7
28.5
25.5
7
43%
1
2
5
1
0
1
0
1
3-5
60%
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
0-3
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 32.9
26.1
12.2
9
75%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
51%
3-6
50%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 26.6
20.4
18.4
14
89%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
6-7
4-8
86%
48%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.9
10.7
20.7
1
20%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
0-2
1-4
0%
41%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 38.4
4.8
9.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 27.5
3.8
18.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-1
0%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 24.1
3.8
13.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.1
3.7
0
0-1
48%
Tyshawn Taylor
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.9
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.4
37.6
31.0
9
46%
5
6
0
1
0
4
1
4
1-2
50%
4-9
3-7
44%
48%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.8
35.8
30.6
16
80%
6
1
0
1
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
8-9
5-10
89%
49%
0-1
0%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 37.7
26.9
25.3
12
43%
3
7
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-6
2-5
0%
41%
4-8
50%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.7
21.9
26.9
10
71%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
48%
2-4
50%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.9
21.2
12.1
14
58%
4
0
1
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
7-12
3-5
58%
49%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36.1
25.9
24.4
8
40%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
1-5
20%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 34.0
24.8
17.1
4
42%
5
1
2
1
1
0
1
4
2-4
50%
1-3
3-5
33%
50%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.6
20.2
24.7
8
52%
0
3
1
1
0
2
0
0
4-6
67%
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.5
12.2
24.0
9
83%
3
0
0
1
1
0
1
2
1-1
100%
4-5
5-8
80%
60%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.5
11.8
5.4
6
50%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-1
60%
45%
0-1
0%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.1
0.9
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Chris Wright
G · 6'1" 210 · 23.4
0.9
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.9
19.2
1
3-6
51%
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.8
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.