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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 20, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Wizards59%9688
28Suns41%9279
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.5
35.8
32.5
19
57%
2
8
1
1
0
5
2
0
5-6
83%
7-14
6-12
50%
46%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.5
32.4
26.4
17
56%
8
2
2
1
0
5
1
7
9-12
75%
4-10
5-9
40%
53%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 26.3
29.2
33.4
13
69%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
3-5
60%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 26.9
27.5
29.9
0
0%
3
3
2
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.3
17.2
2.1
0
0%
3
2
2
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
44%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 27.7
33.6
21.3
14
60%
6
1
0
1
0
0
0
6
1-4
25%
2-3
2-3
67%
47%
3-7
43%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 23.3
29.6
14.0
16
73%
5
1
0
0
2
3
0
5
0-0
-
8-11
3-6
73%
48%
0-0
-
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 19.7
19.0
24.5
6
50%
5
1
0
1
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
3-4
3-7
75%
45%
0-2
0%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.3
15.6
22.4
3
52%
7
2
0
1
0
0
3
4
1-2
50%
1-2
3-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.5
26.9
1
5-9
52%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.3
8.5
0
1-1
43%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.3
4.4
0
0-1
43%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 22.9
2.5
0
0-1
53%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.3
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.9
41.5
30.9
18
63%
3
11
3
1
0
4
1
2
9-10
90%
3-7
4-8
43%
51%
1-3
33%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.7
38.4
27.8
18
50%
4
2
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
6-12
3-7
50%
46%
2-6
33%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 27.9
33.9
18.1
10
42%
10
1
2
1
0
3
3
7
2-2
100%
4-9
2-4
44%
48%
0-2
0%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 34.4
32.8
19.7
12
44%
6
1
0
0
0
2
3
3
6-6
100%
3-11
3-7
27%
49%
0-0
-
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 23.5
10.6
25.3
0
0%
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-7
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 32.9
33.9
17.1
11
43%
5
2
1
0
1
0
0
5
1-2
50%
5-12
3-6
42%
49%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 27.8
10.3
13.7
2
20%
6
0
0
0
0
0
4
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
48%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 27.3
8.8
4.1
4
50%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 27.7
8.4
25.1
0
0%
3
0
1
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
53%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.2
8.4
21.7
4
34%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
4-8
33%
46%
0-2
0%
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.6
6.6
19.8
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-1
0%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.5
6.5
12.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Diante Garrett
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.4
4.3
0
0-1
44%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 29.8
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.