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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 23, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Raptors32%9484
8Knicks68%100110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.6
38.5
34.7
17
49%
3
3
1
1
1
2
2
1
3-5
60%
7-13
5-12
54%
46%
0-2
0%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.7
38.4
24.4
7
48%
4
1
2
1
0
2
1
3
1-3
33%
3-6
3-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 27.0
31.5
32.1
14
47%
4
4
1
1
0
3
1
3
2-4
50%
6-9
2-5
67%
45%
0-4
0%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22.1
30.8
19.5
13
65%
6
1
0
1
1
3
0
6
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
3-5
60%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.9
30.0
28.6
11
103%
8
0
0
0
0
3
3
5
3-3
100%
4-4
4-7
100%
53%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.4
30.9
24.5
14
46%
4
2
0
1
0
3
2
2
3-3
100%
4-9
2-5
44%
42%
1-5
20%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.3
21.8
10.5
4
18%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
42%
0-7
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.9
18.0
26.7
4
67%
4
2
2
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-3
4-7
67%
56%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.6
25.8
1
5-10
46%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 27.8
6.3
0
0-1
41%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 28.2
4.6
0
0-1
46%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 31.1
4.0
0
0-0
45%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.3
3.4
0
0-1
52%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.4
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.8
30.3
33.3
28
60%
8
2
1
1
0
2
3
5
10-10
100%
9-16
6-13
56%
48%
0-3
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 28.7
28.5
34.3
9
50%
2
5
3
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
4-8
60%
47%
1-4
25%
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.8
27.8
14.0
2
50%
6
6
1
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 35.2
27.4
27.8
18
68%
7
0
1
1
2
1
4
3
4-5
80%
7-11
3-6
64%
51%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 22.7
20.9
17.9
8
67%
3
2
4
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
2-4
50%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 27.5
31.1
34.3
25
64%
5
3
2
1
0
3
0
5
7-8
88%
9-13
4-9
69%
47%
0-3
0%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 29.8
25.2
14.5
5
42%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
46%
1-2
50%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 40.0
22.7
25.5
3
150%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
1-1
100%
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 29.0
20.6
15.2
12
86%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
52%
2-2
100%
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.4
5.5
4.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 39.0
10.8
0
1-2
44%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 30.5
9.1
0
1-1
64%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 40.5
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 38.5
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.