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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 23, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Pacers43%9084
19Bulls57%9287
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.9
37.4
31.7
23
52%
11
2
3
1
0
1
0
11
4-5
80%
8-14
4-8
57%
46%
1-6
17%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 26.3
35.0
26.7
18
48%
12
2
0
0
2
3
4
8
2-2
100%
8-18
5-10
44%
46%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 22.5
34.8
26.5
10
59%
3
3
2
1
1
0
0
3
5-8
63%
1-4
2-5
25%
49%
1-1
100%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.9
33.1
28.1
11
59%
1
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
3-3
100%
1-4
3-5
25%
49%
2-4
50%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 27.4
27.9
23.5
7
51%
6
3
0
1
0
2
2
4
1-2
50%
3-6
3-7
50%
43%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.9
19.8
17.9
6
61%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 25.4
15.4
15.8
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.4
13.0
16.6
4
41%
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
4
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
49%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 27.2
11.2
14.6
5
31%
1
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-7
1-3
14%
43%
1-1
100%
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.0
8.8
15.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-1
0%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 27.8
3.6
6.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Ben Hansbrough
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.2
4.7
0
0-1
40%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 24.6
4.6
0
1-1
45%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.9
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.9
35.8
31.8
20
54%
7
0
0
1
0
0
2
5
6-10
60%
7-14
4-9
50%
46%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.5
31.1
10.6
11
70%
7
3
0
0
1
0
5
2
1-2
50%
5-7
1-3
71%
47%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.3
27.7
32.0
18
52%
10
1
1
1
0
1
1
9
2-5
40%
8-15
7-14
53%
49%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.0
26.8
36.1
4
52%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-3
4-8
33%
44%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.2
20.4
17.6
2
20%
2
5
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-3
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.7
32.6
15.8
11
45%
5
0
0
0
2
0
1
4
3-3
100%
4-11
2-5
36%
49%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.5
20.4
26.6
3
38%
5
1
0
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.8
19.7
31.5
9
56%
1
5
1
1
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
4-8
60%
46%
1-3
33%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.9
17.3
3.9
9
38%
5
2
1
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
3-8
0-1
38%
39%
1-4
25%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.1
7.9
5.8
0
0%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.3
0.3
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.4
2.4
0
0-0
43%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 35.1
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.