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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 23, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Celtics31%86106
6Grizzlies69%93110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.6
45.0
29.4
12
51%
5
4
1
1
2
2
0
5
3-4
75%
3-6
4-8
50%
48%
1-4
25%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.4
32.2
31.8
26
69%
6
4
1
1
0
5
1
5
2-4
50%
6-11
3-8
55%
46%
4-6
67%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.9
29.9
30.4
6
50%
6
3
1
1
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.5
27.5
21.4
10
47%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
5-6
83%
1-3
2-3
33%
47%
1-5
20%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.3
25.4
30.4
8
45%
2
0
0
1
1
3
0
2
2-2
100%
3-8
3-8
38%
45%
0-0
-
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 24.4
27.1
17.9
21
60%
5
3
0
0
0
1
3
2
9-10
90%
3-9
2-4
33%
43%
2-4
50%
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.7
22.4
3.3
9
113%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
0-1
100%
41%
1-1
100%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.6
14.2
13.8
8
100%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-4
1-3
100%
56%
0-0
-
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 29.3
8.7
4.2
2
35%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-2
0%
1-2
1-1
50%
42%
0-0
-
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.6
7.5
2.8
4
100%
2
1
0
0
4
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.5
30.6
1
2-5
47%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.8
23.5
1
5-10
48%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 27.1
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.8
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 21.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.4
37.2
36.8
12
41%
2
10
4
2
0
2
1
1
4-4
100%
4-10
4-9
40%
47%
0-3
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 33.1
34.8
33.1
12
51%
2
4
1
1
1
1
2
0
2-2
100%
5-11
4-9
45%
45%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 31.2
33.4
25.0
10
38%
10
3
1
1
0
1
3
7
0-0
-
5-13
3-7
38%
48%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.0
29.0
8.0
18
59%
7
2
1
0
0
1
1
6
2-3
67%
8-14
1-3
57%
48%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.8
18.9
13.0
11
63%
8
0
0
0
5
1
4
4
3-4
75%
4-7
2-4
57%
54%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.6
38.1
25.2
30
68%
4
3
0
1
0
2
0
4
4-5
80%
7-14
3-6
50%
46%
4-6
67%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.7
31.2
31.7
15
48%
11
2
0
1
0
0
5
6
5-6
83%
5-12
6-12
42%
49%
0-1
0%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.0
17.4
17.4
2
33%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.1
36.2
1
6-12
51%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 19.9
5.9
0
1-1
46%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.8
4.8
0
0-1
43%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 23.9
2.0
0
0-1
50%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 25.1
1.7
0
0-1
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.