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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 23, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Kings23%10195
5Nuggets77%110101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.3
36.2
35.8
18
75%
3
2
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
43%
4-8
50%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.6
36.0
23.6
24
61%
15
3
0
1
5
6
3
12
4-8
50%
10-16
4-10
63%
46%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 24.1
32.8
29.5
10
38%
1
9
1
1
0
2
1
0
2-3
67%
1-4
4-7
25%
49%
2-8
25%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.7
26.1
21.0
6
27%
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-11
3-7
27%
51%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.5
23.2
35.7
4
40%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
5-10
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.8
31.1
17.8
10
36%
2
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
2-2
100%
4-8
2-4
50%
48%
0-5
0%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.0
20.1
27.6
7
88%
4
2
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-3
4-7
67%
50%
1-1
100%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.4
11.2
11.6
2
53%
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-2
0%
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.1
10.3
6.6
6
60%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
42%
0-2
0%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.5
8.1
2.8
8
58%
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
1-2
50%
2-4
0-1
50%
41%
1-2
50%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.0
4.9
16.7
0
0%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
0-1
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.8
10.3
0
1-2
46%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.1
3.3
0
0-1
46%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.3
37.9
24.5
17
62%
9
2
0
1
2
1
1
8
3-4
75%
7-12
5-8
58%
57%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.1
37.0
34.8
15
42%
5
8
2
2
0
3
2
3
3-4
75%
3-11
4-7
27%
52%
2-5
40%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.6
36.4
32.5
19
60%
8
4
3
1
0
1
1
7
7-9
78%
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
2-5
40%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 37.0
33.7
29.5
11
41%
3
5
0
1
0
2
1
2
3-3
100%
4-11
4-8
36%
52%
0-1
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.1
26.3
20.5
13
67%
9
1
0
1
1
1
1
8
3-4
75%
5-8
4-6
63%
60%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 27.1
25.6
25.9
2
13%
2
4
3
1
2
4
1
1
0-0
-
1-6
4-8
17%
52%
0-2
0%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 23.7
15.7
10.0
8
45%
6
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
0-2
0%
4-7
2-4
57%
49%
0-1
0%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.3
14.3
2.5
5
91%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
1-1
0-0
100%
53%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.2
13.1
16.3
11
62%
3
0
0
0
2
3
3
0
1-2
50%
5-8
3-6
63%
58%
0-0
-
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 25.4
22.4
1
3-6
54%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.4
4.5
0
0-1
52%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22.5
3.3
0
1-1
53%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 26.7
2.9
0
0-1
55%
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.3
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.