Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Hawks	46%	99	104	110.6	94	93.3
	16	Bucks	54%	101	99	108.8	91	92.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Al Horford C · 6'8" 240 · 27	41.3	24	67%	7	6	2	0	0	2	0	7	4-4	100%	10-16	63%	0-0	-
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 25	36.2	14	47%	0	8	2	1	5	3	0	0	4-4	100%	5-9	56%	0-4	0%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 27	36.1	23	61%	9	4	2	2	0	0	1	8	4-5	80%	8-12	67%	1-5	20%
Kyle Korver F · 6'7" 212 · 32	32.5	9	64%	5	3	1	0	2	2	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-7	43%
Devin Harris G · 6'3" 185 · 30	29.0	16	62%	3	4	1	1	2	1	1	2	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	4-7	57%

Johan Petro C · 7'0" 247 · 27	18.7	3	75%	5	1	0	0	4	2	1	4	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Dahntay Jones G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32	17.8	8	80%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1-5	20%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Anthony Tolliver F · 6'8" 240 · 28	15.2	5	125%	5	0	1	0	0	1	2	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
John Jenkins G · 6'4" 215 · 22	9.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Shelvin Mack G · 6'3" 203 · 23	4.2	2	33%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
DeShawn Stevenson F-G · 6'5" 218 · 32	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ivan Johnson F · 6'8" 255 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Mike Scott F · 6'8" 237 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Lou Williams # 3 · G · 6'1" 175 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Zaza Pachulia #27 · C · 6'11" 270 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	57%	37	28	9	4	13	0	8	29	16-21	76%	29-52	56%	10-26	38%

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14 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Al Horford C · 6'8" 240 · 27	41.3	24	67%	7	6	2	0	0	2	0	7	4-4	100%	10-16	63%	0-0	-
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 25	36.2	14	47%	0	8	2	1	5	3	0	0	4-4	100%	5-9	56%	0-4	0%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 27	36.1	23	61%	9	4	2	2	0	0	1	8	4-5	80%	8-12	67%	1-5	20%
Kyle Korver F · 6'7" 212 · 32	32.5	9	64%	5	3	1	0	2	2	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-7	43%
Devin Harris G · 6'3" 185 · 30	29.0	16	62%	3	4	1	1	2	1	1	2	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	4-7	57%

Johan Petro C · 7'0" 247 · 27	18.7	3	75%	5	1	0	0	4	2	1	4	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Dahntay Jones G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32	17.8	8	80%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1-5	20%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Anthony Tolliver F · 6'8" 240 · 28	15.2	5	125%	5	0	1	0	0	1	2	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
John Jenkins G · 6'4" 215 · 22	9.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Shelvin Mack G · 6'3" 203 · 23	4.2	2	33%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
DeShawn Stevenson F-G · 6'5" 218 · 32	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ivan Johnson F · 6'8" 255 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Mike Scott F · 6'8" 237 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Lou Williams # 3 · G · 6'1" 175 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Zaza Pachulia #27 · C · 6'11" 270 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	57%	37	28	9	4	13	0	8	29	16-21	76%	29-52	56%	10-26	38%

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16 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Jennings G · 6'1" 170 · 23	42.7	12	35%	3	13	3	0	3	3	1	2	3-5	60%	3-10	30%	1-5	20%
Monta Ellis G · 6'3" 185 · 27	38.6	20	63%	4	4	1	0	4	0	1	3	1-2	50%	5-11	45%	3-4	75%
Larry Sanders C · 6'11" 230 · 24	32.2	15	68%	12	0	1	3	1	3	3	9	1-2	50%	7-10	70%	0-0	-
Ersan Ilyasova F · 6'9" 235 · 26	28.3	19	48%	10	1	0	0	1	6	6	4	5-8	63%	7-12	58%	0-4	0%
Marquis Daniels F · 6'6" 200 · 32	15.0	2	14%	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-7	14%	0-0	-

JJ Redick G-F · 6'4" 200 · 29	26.1	9	41%	3	4	1	0	4	2	0	3	0-1	0%	3-5	60%	1-6	17%
Mike Dunleavy G-F · 6'9" 230 · 33	21.9	6	50%	6	2	0	0	1	0	2	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Ekpe Udoh C-F · 6'10" 245 · 26	19.2	10	83%	1	0	0	2	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Samuel Dalembert C · 6'11" 255 · 33	15.9	6	50%	7	1	0	0	1	1	4	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
John Henson C · 6'11" 229 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Gustavo Ayon · 6'10" 250 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ish Smith G · 6'0" 175 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Drew Gooden F · 6'10" 250 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Luc Mbah a Moute #12 · F · 6'8" 230 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Joel Przybilla #10 · C · 7'1" 245 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	48%	50	26	6	5	15	0	18	32	10-18	56%	37-71	52%	5-21	24%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MIL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.14 57.1%

MIL

0.96 48.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

19

29

66%

MIL

17

32

53%

Midrange

ATL

10

23

43%

MIL

20

39

51%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

10

15.0

26

38%

58%

MIL

5

7.5

21

24%

36%

Free Throws

ATL

16

21

76%

MIL

10

18

56%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Horford	24	67%	12.0 / 18
J. Smith	23	61%	11.5 / 19
D. Harris	16	62%	8.0 / 13
J. Teague	14	47%	7.0 / 15
K. Korver	9	64%	4.5 / 7
D. Jones	8	80%	4.0 / 5
A. Tolliver	5	125%	2.5 / 2
J. Petro	3	75%	1.5 / 2
S. Mack	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Jenkins	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Ellis	20	63%	10.0 / 16
E. Ilyasova	19	48%	9.5 / 20
L. Sanders	15	68%	7.5 / 11
B. Jennings	12	35%	6.0 / 17
E. Udoh	10	83%	5.0 / 6
J. Redick	9	41%	4.5 / 11
M. Dunleavy	6	50%	3.0 / 6
S. Dalembert	6	50%	3.0 / 6
M. Daniels	2	14%	1.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 104.6 23 103.6	ATL 110.6 +1.8 MIL 108.8
Pace	12 92.9 3 94.8	ATL 93.3 +1.1 MIL 92.2
Avg. Poss. Time	22 15.4 20 15.4	ATL 15.4 −0.2 MIL 15.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 51.7% 24 47.6%	ATL 56.4% +8.0% MIL 48.4%
TO %	16 15.2% 5 14.3%	ATL 14.7% MIL 13.8% −0.9%
ORB %	26 22.2% 11 28.0%	ATL 20.0% MIL 38.3% +18.3%
FTrt	25 24.4 27 23.6	ATL 26.9 +7.3 MIL 19.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 65.1% 14 60.0%	ATL 71.8% +9.9% MIL 61.9%
STL %	12 8.7% 11 8.8%	ATL 9.6% +3.0% MIL 6.6%
BLK %	23 7.1% 4 10.1%	ATL 5.6% MIL 9.6% +4.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 53.2% 28 49.7%	ATL 57.1% +9.0% MIL 48.1%
Rim FG%	3 62.5% 27 54.6%	ATL 65.5% +12.4% MIL 53.1%
Mid FG%	21 38.3% 26 36.8%	ATL 43.5% MIL 51.3% +7.8%
3P %	7 37.1% 14 36.0%	ATL 38.5% +14.7% MIL 23.8%
FT %	26 71.5% 22 73.6%	ATL 76.2% +20.6% MIL 55.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 34.9% 7 38.4%	ATL 37.2% +2.4% MIL 34.8%
Mid Att. %	9 36.5% 13 38.3%	ATL 29.5% −12.9% MIL 42.4%
3P Att. %	4 28.6% 16 23.2%	ATL 33.3% +10.5% MIL 22.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	MIL
Possessions	94	91
Possession Minutes	24.2	23.7
Points	104	99
Rebounds	37	50
Assists	28	26
Steals	9	6
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	13 (2)	15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (2)	18 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (0)	32 (1)
Field Goals	39-78	42-92
At-the-Rim FG	19-29	17-32
Midrange FG	10-23	20-39
2-Point FG	29-52	37-71
3-Point FG	10-26	5-21
Free Throws	16-21	10-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg