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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 24, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Hawks46%99104
16Bucks54%10199
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.8
41.3
38.8
24
68%
7
6
2
1
0
0
0
7
4-4
100%
10-16
9-16
63%
54%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24.8
36.2
33.4
14
47%
0
8
2
2
1
5
0
0
4-4
100%
5-9
5-10
56%
50%
0-4
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 27.3
36.1
35.1
23
60%
9
4
2
1
2
0
1
8
4-5
80%
8-12
6-12
67%
49%
1-5
20%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 32.0
32.5
29.6
9
64%
5
3
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
3-7
43%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.1
29.0
21.5
16
62%
3
4
1
1
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
51%
4-7
57%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 27.2
18.7
4.7
3
61%
5
1
0
0
0
4
1
4
1-1
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.2
17.8
12.6
8
65%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-5
20%
2-3
1-2
67%
43%
1-1
100%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.8
15.2
8.7
5
125%
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
1-1
100%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.1
9.0
18.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 22.9
4.2
2.9
2
33%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
44%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 32.0
18.3
0
0-1
42%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 29.0
14.2
1
2-5
51%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 24.7
2.7
0
0-1
48%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.4
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 29.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.5
42.7
34.6
12
35%
3
13
3
1
0
3
1
2
3-5
60%
3-10
4-8
30%
44%
1-5
20%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.4
38.6
36.7
20
63%
4
4
1
2
0
4
1
3
1-2
50%
5-11
6-13
45%
48%
3-4
75%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.3
32.2
27.5
15
69%
12
0
1
1
3
1
3
9
1-2
50%
7-10
5-9
70%
50%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.9
28.3
33.7
19
49%
10
1
0
1
0
1
6
4
5-8
63%
7-12
5-10
58%
50%
0-4
0%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 32.2
15.0
18.8
2
14%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-7
2-4
14%
47%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.7
26.1
27.0
9
39%
3
4
1
0
0
4
0
3
0-1
0%
3-5
2-5
60%
49%
1-6
17%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.5
21.9
22.9
6
50%
6
2
0
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
0-2
0%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.8
19.2
17.0
10
83%
1
0
0
1
2
0
1
0
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
45%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.9
15.9
17.9
6
50%
7
1
0
0
0
1
4
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
52%
0-0
-
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.2
12.9
0
3-5
50%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 28.0
6.7
0
1-2
53%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.7
3.9
0
0-1
40%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.5
3.2
0
1-1
46%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.5
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.