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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 24, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Bobcats9%9077
3Heat91%108109
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 20.6
36.5
29.2
2
25%
11
0
1
0
1
2
2
9
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
44%
0-0
-
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 22.9
36.3
34.1
20
42%
6
3
1
2
0
2
1
5
4-6
67%
5-14
5-11
36%
42%
2-7
29%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.3
35.5
34.8
18
46%
5
1
2
1
0
2
2
3
2-4
50%
8-18
5-12
44%
45%
0-0
-
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 19.5
31.9
21.4
13
67%
10
2
0
1
1
1
3
7
3-4
75%
5-8
3-6
63%
44%
0-0
-
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.1
22.6
21.8
5
31%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
42%
1-5
20%
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 23.8
26.9
15.4
8
33%
5
1
1
0
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
4-8
1-3
50%
45%
0-4
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.4
17.1
20.8
5
36%
1
1
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
37%
1-5
20%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.0
16.0
19.4
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
2-6
0%
42%
0-3
0%
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 27.1
13.8
6.2
3
32%
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
3-4
75%
0-3
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.5
3.4
3.3
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
1-1
100%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 26.1
27.9
1
2-5
48%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 33.3
5.4
0
0-1
46%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.6
4.6
0
1-2
39%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.0
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 31.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.2
34.2
37.4
32
85%
8
10
3
2
3
4
0
8
10-11
91%
11-13
8-14
85%
60%
0-1
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 29.0
31.4
31.5
15
51%
6
1
1
1
3
0
1
5
5-6
83%
5-11
6-10
45%
56%
0-1
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.8
26.4
28.4
2
20%
0
3
1
1
1
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
53%
0-4
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.1
21.6
3.0
6
43%
3
4
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
2-6
33%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.8
15.9
17.5
1
13%
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
0-3
1-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.5
25.6
24.5
6
50%
5
0
0
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
2-5
40%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.7
22.6
22.7
14
78%
7
0
0
1
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
53%
4-5
80%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.4
21.6
16.8
15
76%
3
6
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-5
2-3
40%
48%
3-4
75%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34.7
16.2
14.2
6
100%
5
0
1
0
2
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
60%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.6
14.2
2.0
7
50%
4
0
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
0-0
50%
54%
1-3
33%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 40.1
3.4
3.9
2
100%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.6
3.4
3.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
56%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.5
3.4
2.5
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
1-1
100%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.2
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.