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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 24, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Bulls42%92104
21Timberwolves58%9597
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.5
43.8
23.7
20
67%
9
2
3
1
1
0
3
6
8-9
89%
3-9
2-5
33%
49%
2-2
100%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.9
39.6
33.3
17
48%
7
4
1
1
1
1
3
4
1-2
50%
5-11
5-10
45%
46%
2-6
33%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.3
36.0
29.7
19
60%
12
4
1
1
0
5
5
7
1-2
50%
9-15
6-13
60%
49%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.2
23.9
20.0
8
33%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
44%
2-7
29%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.5
21.9
19.9
4
33%
10
0
1
0
0
0
5
5
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
47%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.8
34.4
25.8
22
65%
1
10
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-2
0%
5-8
3-7
63%
46%
4-8
50%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.7
25.1
23.0
12
76%
11
2
0
0
1
3
4
7
2-2
100%
5-7
4-8
71%
49%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.9
15.3
10.7
2
20%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
37%
0-3
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.0
31.3
1
3-7
43%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.1
7.4
0
1-2
43%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.3
2.7
0
0-0
44%
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.4
2.2
0
0-0
44%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 35.1
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.8
38.4
22.7
28
71%
5
0
2
0
2
3
0
5
3-4
75%
8-13
3-7
62%
47%
3-5
60%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.4
32.3
29.1
15
60%
5
8
1
2
0
1
2
3
7-10
70%
4-8
3-8
50%
41%
0-0
-
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 27.2
31.0
21.0
15
73%
8
1
0
0
1
1
2
6
3-3
100%
6-9
4-7
67%
53%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.1
28.2
28.3
4
33%
4
4
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
50%
0-1
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.1
25.8
21.7
4
33%
3
1
1
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
53%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.9
21.1
24.9
10
50%
0
1
2
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
5-10
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.8
18.7
16.1
7
88%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
50%
1-2
50%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 24.3
17.5
16.8
3
26%
0
6
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-2
0%
0-3
2-3
0%
45%
1-2
50%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.7
17.3
22.0
9
50%
4
4
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
45%
1-2
50%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.5
8.1
23.4
2
50%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.8
0.8
12.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 27.7
0.8
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.5
9.0
0
1-3
48%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.7
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.