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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 24, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Jazz34%99108
10Mavericks66%105113
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 23.0
41.4
33.1
13
63%
2
5
0
1
0
3
1
1
3-3
100%
5-7
4-8
71%
46%
0-2
0%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 30.3
35.9
30.2
10
50%
3
8
2
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
45%
2-4
50%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 28.1
27.4
27.6
15
66%
9
1
2
1
2
2
2
7
1-1
100%
7-11
5-10
64%
50%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 29.5
27.3
23.0
12
68%
4
3
1
1
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
41%
3-6
50%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 28.2
26.8
35.0
15
55%
3
0
1
1
1
0
1
2
3-4
75%
6-12
8-17
50%
49%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 26.8
23.0
25.7
2
17%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
0-2
0%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 20.8
21.2
11.5
17
79%
4
1
1
0
0
3
1
3
3-4
75%
7-9
2-4
78%
53%
0-0
-
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 21.7
16.3
20.6
7
45%
5
1
1
1
0
5
2
3
3-4
75%
2-6
3-6
33%
49%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 21.7
8.4
18.9
11
58%
2
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
45%
2-3
67%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.7
4.3
6.0
2
114%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 25.4
4.3
4.1
4
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
56%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 35.1
3.7
6.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 33.8
7.0
0
0-1
42%
Kevin Murphy
G · 6'6" 185 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.4
35.8
34.2
10
71%
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
4-8
67%
48%
2-4
50%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 37.8
32.1
24.5
19
87%
3
5
1
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
41%
3-4
75%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.9
30.3
21.7
15
80%
6
3
3
1
0
1
0
6
2-3
67%
5-6
3-6
83%
52%
1-2
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.8
26.4
31.4
17
63%
6
2
1
1
0
1
0
6
1-1
100%
5-9
5-10
56%
50%
2-4
50%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.5
22.8
23.4
7
29%
4
1
0
1
3
2
2
2
1-2
50%
3-11
5-8
27%
60%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.6
21.5
24.9
13
67%
1
5
0
1
1
3
0
1
11-13
85%
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36.2
21.4
25.1
15
65%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
8-8
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
1-3
33%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.7
20.6
18.6
2
114%
2
1
1
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 34.0
17.6
13.4
10
100%
5
3
1
0
2
0
2
3
0-0
-
5-5
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.9
8.3
15.5
4
67%
2
0
0
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-7
67%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.5
1.6
5.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.1
1.6
2.5
1
57%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.1
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.