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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 24, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2576ers42%99117
23Kings58%102103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 33.2
39.5
28.7
17
56%
6
3
1
1
1
0
2
4
4-5
80%
5-10
3-7
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.8
38.6
35.9
21
46%
10
7
5
2
1
4
4
6
2-6
33%
8-16
5-11
50%
48%
1-4
25%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.8
33.0
32.1
14
47%
6
1
1
1
0
0
3
3
2-2
100%
6-13
7-12
46%
54%
0-1
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 24.9
30.9
33.5
14
54%
10
3
1
0
1
2
4
6
0-0
-
7-12
5-11
58%
50%
0-1
0%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.4
30.3
28.8
7
44%
2
8
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
3-6
4-9
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 27.3
29.7
21.4
22
75%
3
6
0
1
1
1
0
3
4-4
100%
0-3
2-3
0%
49%
6-10
60%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 24.1
22.5
11.7
20
72%
7
1
0
0
0
0
3
4
2-2
100%
9-13
2-3
69%
50%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 31.3
9.0
14.2
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.3
6.5
15.3
2
100%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
51%
0-0
-
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.1
9.0
0
1-2
46%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.8
6.7
0
1-2
47%
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 27.0
4.7
0
1-1
44%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 31.0
2.8
0
0-0
52%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 32.2
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 25.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.5
33.8
30.0
19
60%
2
8
2
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
7-12
4-8
58%
50%
1-3
33%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.3
31.5
35.1
5
28%
5
2
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
1-6
17%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 24.1
28.9
30.3
25
81%
3
0
0
1
0
3
0
3
1-1
100%
6-8
4-7
75%
50%
4-7
57%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.6
27.4
28.5
8
40%
9
2
1
1
1
2
2
7
2-2
100%
3-9
5-11
33%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.7
26.9
23.2
8
37%
8
0
0
1
1
2
3
5
0-2
0%
4-10
4-7
40%
52%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.0
33.8
24.1
12
55%
7
2
2
0
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
52%
2-3
67%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.8
26.6
23.3
22
83%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
3-3
100%
8-8
3-5
100%
49%
1-4
25%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.0
21.2
12.0
0
0%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.5
4.9
5.7
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
42%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.4
4.9
11.6
2
114%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.1
8.7
0
1-2
44%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.8
7.6
0
1-1
48%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.1
3.4
0
1-1
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.