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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 25, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Nuggets61%10186
21Hornets39%97110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 37.0
39.0
30.4
9
67%
4
6
2
1
0
3
0
4
3-4
75%
3-5
4-8
60%
51%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.2
35.0
34.7
6
44%
1
4
1
2
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
2-3
3-7
67%
51%
0-2
0%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.6
32.6
33.3
24
73%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
10-10
100%
1-6
3-6
17%
47%
4-6
67%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.3
25.0
29.2
13
75%
7
0
1
1
1
2
1
6
5-6
83%
4-6
5-9
67%
56%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.1
20.2
22.6
3
26%
3
0
1
1
2
0
2
1
1-2
50%
1-5
4-7
20%
58%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.9
30.2
26.3
11
42%
4
2
0
1
0
2
0
4
5-7
71%
3-7
4-8
43%
50%
0-3
0%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 27.1
27.0
25.4
9
35%
3
1
1
1
0
3
2
1
1-2
50%
4-9
4-8
44%
50%
0-3
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.2
10.6
15.1
2
33%
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
57%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22.5
10.5
3.2
7
44%
5
0
0
0
0
0
4
1
2-2
100%
1-5
0-1
20%
49%
1-2
50%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 23.7
2.5
12.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-0
-
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.4
2.5
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 26.7
2.5
2.9
2
114%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.3
2.4
7.8
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.3
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 25.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.3
41.2
18.0
13
60%
5
18
1
1
0
3
0
5
2-2
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
44%
1-4
25%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.5
35.9
24.4
13
49%
8
3
3
1
3
1
3
5
5-5
100%
4-11
2-5
36%
47%
0-0
-
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.0
25.9
15.6
16
114%
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
46%
4-5
80%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 20.0
22.9
30.6
14
72%
6
2
0
1
1
0
3
3
4-4
100%
5-8
6-12
63%
52%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 25.0
22.4
26.1
11
46%
7
2
1
0
3
3
4
3
1-2
50%
5-11
5-9
45%
53%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.9
36.4
22.6
23
52%
9
1
1
0
0
0
3
6
0-0
-
4-11
3-5
36%
49%
5-11
45%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.5
27.8
9.4
14
88%
3
3
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
46%
4-5
80%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 22.0
10.9
3.8
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
44%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.3
10.5
12.5
2
25%
4
0
0
0
2
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
44%
0-0
-
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.6
5.0
14.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.9
1.1
4.1
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 26.2
33.0
1
5-10
47%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.2
26.5
1
4-9
48%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 27.1
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.