Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Hawks	47%	96	107	113.8	94	97.2
	19	Raptors	53%	97	88	94.6	93	90.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Al Horford C · 6'8" 240 · 27	35.8	26	62%	12	1	1	0	1	2	1	11	6-6	100%	10-18	56%	0-0	-
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 25	34.7	24	75%	4	13	1	0	1	2	0	4	3-3	100%	6-11	55%	3-4	75%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 27	30.7	19	53%	3	1	3	0	2	3	3	0	3-5	60%	5-14	36%	2-2	100%
Anthony Tolliver F · 6'8" 240 · 28	26.0	7	70%	1	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Kyle Korver G · 6'7" 212 · 32	23.0	8	44%	3	1	2	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-6	33%

Ivan Johnson F · 6'8" 255 · 29	33.5	9	75%	6	4	1	0	0	4	4	2	1-2	50%	4-4	100%	0-1	0%
DeShawn Stevenson F-G · 6'5" 218 · 32	21.5	0	0%	2	0	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Shelvin Mack G · 6'3" 203 · 23	13.3	3	50%	1	3	1	0	3	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
John Jenkins G · 6'4" 215 · 22	10.5	9	113%	3	2	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-1	100%
Johan Petro C · 7'0" 247 · 27	7.3	2	50%	3	1	1	0	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Mike Scott F · 6'8" 237 · 25	3.5	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Dahntay Jones G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Devin Harris G · 6'3" 185 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Lou Williams # 3 · G · 6'1" 175 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Zaza Pachulia #27 · C · 6'11" 270 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	57%	40	27	11	0	11	0	8	32	17-20	85%	30-60	50%	10-21	48%

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17 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Al Horford C · 6'8" 240 · 27	35.8	26	62%	12	1	1	0	1	2	1	11	6-6	100%	10-18	56%	0-0	-
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 25	34.7	24	75%	4	13	1	0	1	2	0	4	3-3	100%	6-11	55%	3-4	75%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 27	30.7	19	53%	3	1	3	0	2	3	3	0	3-5	60%	5-14	36%	2-2	100%
Anthony Tolliver F · 6'8" 240 · 28	26.0	7	70%	1	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Kyle Korver G · 6'7" 212 · 32	23.0	8	44%	3	1	2	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-6	33%

Ivan Johnson F · 6'8" 255 · 29	33.5	9	75%	6	4	1	0	0	4	4	2	1-2	50%	4-4	100%	0-1	0%
DeShawn Stevenson F-G · 6'5" 218 · 32	21.5	0	0%	2	0	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Shelvin Mack G · 6'3" 203 · 23	13.3	3	50%	1	3	1	0	3	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
John Jenkins G · 6'4" 215 · 22	10.5	9	113%	3	2	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-1	100%
Johan Petro C · 7'0" 247 · 27	7.3	2	50%	3	1	1	0	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Mike Scott F · 6'8" 237 · 25	3.5	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Dahntay Jones G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Devin Harris G · 6'3" 185 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Lou Williams # 3 · G · 6'1" 175 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Zaza Pachulia #27 · C · 6'11" 270 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	57%	40	27	11	0	11	0	8	32	17-20	85%	30-60	50%	10-21	48%

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19 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan G · 6'6" 220 · 24	36.4	14	41%	2	1	1	0	3	2	0	2	4-6	67%	5-12	42%	0-2	0%
Rudy Gay F · 6'8" 230 · 27	35.5	15	47%	12	3	2	0	5	5	1	11	3-4	75%	6-11	55%	0-3	0%
Kyle Lowry G · 6'0" 196 · 27	34.3	3	25%	7	10	1	0	3	3	2	5	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas C · 6'11" 265 · 21	31.6	19	86%	8	0	0	1	2	2	3	5	3-4	75%	8-11	73%	0-0	-
Amir Johnson F · 6'9" 240 · 26	20.5	7	58%	5	0	0	0	1	3	1	4	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	0-0	-

Alan Anderson F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30	30.9	12	46%	1	2	2	0	3	0	0	1	0-1	0%	3-7	43%	2-6	33%
Terrence Ross G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22	23.5	13	65%	5	0	1	0	1	0	2	3	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	1-2	50%
John Lucas III G · 5'11" 166 · 30	13.7	3	50%	1	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Landry Fields G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25	7.3	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Aaron Gray C · 7'0" 270 · 28	6.4	0	0%	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Sebastian Telfair G · 6'0" 170 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Linas Kleiza F · 6'8" 234 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Mickael Pietrus F · 6'6" 215 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Andrea Bargnani # 7 · C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Quincy Acy # 4 · F · 6'7" 240 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	88	51%	42	20	8	1	19	0	10	32	14-20	70%	31-61	51%	4-17	24%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	TOR

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.15 57.5%

TOR

1.01 50.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

18

29

62%

TOR

22

34

65%

Midrange

ATL

12

31

39%

TOR

9

27

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

10

15.0

21

48%

71%

TOR

4

6.0

17

24%

35%

Free Throws

ATL

17

20

85%

TOR

14

20

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Horford	26	62%	13.0 / 21
J. Teague	24	75%	12.0 / 16
J. Smith	19	53%	9.5 / 18
I. Johnson	9	75%	4.5 / 6
J. Jenkins	9	113%	4.5 / 4
K. Korver	8	44%	4.0 / 9
A. Tolliver	7	70%	3.5 / 5
S. Mack	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Petro	2	50%	1.0 / 2
D. Stevenson	0	-	0.0 / 4
M. Scott	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Valančiūnas	19	86%	9.5 / 11
R. Gay	15	47%	7.5 / 16
D. DeRozan	14	41%	7.0 / 17
T. Ross	13	65%	6.5 / 10
A. Anderson	12	46%	6.0 / 13
A. Johnson	7	58%	3.5 / 6
K. Lowry	3	25%	1.5 / 6
J. Lucas III	3	50%	1.5 / 3
L. Fields	2	50%	1.0 / 2
A. Gray	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 104.6 16 105.6	ATL 113.8 +19.2 TOR 94.6
Pace	12 92.9 24 90.7	ATL 97.2 +6.4 TOR 90.9
Avg. Poss. Time	22 15.4 8 16.2	ATL 14.8 −1.0 TOR 15.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 51.7% 18 48.8%	ATL 55.6% +8.2% TOR 47.4%
TO %	16 15.2% 6 14.4%	ATL 10.9% −7.8% TOR 18.7%
ORB %	27 22.2% 20 25.5%	ATL 20.0% TOR 23.8% +3.8%
FTrt	25 24.4 13 27.4	ATL 24.7 TOR 25.6 +0.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 65.1% 19 59.2%	ATL 67.5% +10.4% TOR 57.1%
STL %	12 8.7% 21 7.9%	ATL 11.7% +3.1% TOR 8.6%
BLK %	23 7.1% 16 7.9%	ATL 0.0% TOR 1.7% +1.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 53.2% 16 51.9%	ATL 57.5% +6.9% TOR 50.6%
Rim FG%	3 62.5% 7 59.3%	ATL 62.1% TOR 64.7% +2.6%
Mid FG%	21 38.3% 16 39.2%	ATL 38.7% +5.4% TOR 33.3%
3P %	7 37.1% 26 34.3%	ATL 47.6% +24.1% TOR 23.5%
FT %	26 71.5% 5 78.8%	ATL 85.0% +15.0% TOR 70.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 34.9% 27 32.6%	ATL 35.8% TOR 43.6% +7.8%
Mid Att. %	9 36.5% 21 42.5%	ATL 38.3% TOR 34.6% −3.7%
3P Att. %	4 28.6% 10 24.9%	ATL 25.9% +4.1% TOR 21.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	TOR
Possessions	94	93
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.6
Points	107	88
Rebounds	40	42
Assists	27	20
Steals	11	8
Blocks	0	1
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	19 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (2)	10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (1)	32 (1)
Field Goals	40-81	35-78
At-the-Rim FG	18-29	22-34
Midrange FG	12-31	9-27
2-Point FG	30-60	31-61
3-Point FG	10-21	4-17
Free Throws	17-20	14-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg