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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 27, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Hawks47%96107
19Raptors53%9788
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.8
35.8
36.5
26
63%
12
1
1
1
0
1
1
11
6-6
100%
10-18
8-15
56%
55%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24.8
34.7
31.7
24
74%
4
13
1
1
0
1
0
4
3-3
100%
6-11
4-9
55%
50%
3-4
75%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 27.3
30.7
32.7
19
52%
3
1
3
1
0
2
3
0
3-5
60%
5-14
5-11
36%
50%
2-2
100%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.8
26.0
15.5
7
72%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
1-3
33%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 32.0
23.0
27.7
8
44%
3
1
2
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
2-6
33%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 29.0
33.5
12.6
9
77%
6
4
1
1
0
0
4
2
1-2
50%
4-4
2-4
100%
51%
0-1
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 32.0
21.5
12.7
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 22.9
13.3
8.9
3
50%
1
3
1
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
1-2
50%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.1
10.5
13.9
9
113%
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
48%
1-1
100%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 27.2
7.3
12.8
2
53%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 24.7
3.5
5.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.2
0.1
13.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.1
17.3
1
1-3
51%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.4
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 29.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.6
36.4
35.2
14
42%
2
1
1
1
0
3
0
2
4-6
67%
5-12
6-12
42%
47%
0-2
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.6
35.5
18.4
15
48%
12
3
2
1
0
5
1
11
3-4
75%
6-11
3-7
55%
47%
0-3
0%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 27.0
34.3
31.1
3
26%
7
10
1
1
0
3
2
5
1-2
50%
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.9
31.6
28.4
19
74%
8
0
0
0
1
2
3
5
3-4
75%
8-11
4-7
73%
54%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.9
20.5
23.4
7
54%
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
1-1
100%
3-6
4-6
50%
57%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.4
30.9
26.1
12
45%
1
2
2
1
0
3
0
1
0-1
0%
3-7
3-6
43%
44%
2-6
33%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22.1
23.5
23.1
13
66%
5
0
1
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
48%
1-2
50%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.3
13.7
14.4
3
50%
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.7
7.3
28.5
2
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.3
6.4
3.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 27.8
4.9
0
0-1
42%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 28.2
4.4
0
0-1
48%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 31.1
3.6
0
0-0
48%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.4
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.