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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 27, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Bucks55%9992
2676ers45%97100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.4
41.5
36.5
29
65%
0
7
2
2
1
4
0
0
3-3
100%
10-12
6-12
83%
48%
2-9
22%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.9
35.2
31.1
13
36%
18
2
1
1
1
4
6
12
2-2
100%
4-13
5-10
31%
50%
1-4
25%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.3
32.8
28.8
15
51%
9
1
2
1
0
4
4
5
3-4
75%
6-13
5-10
46%
50%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.5
17.3
36.9
0
0%
0
3
1
2
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
4-9
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 32.2
15.8
17.1
4
29%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
47%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.8
35.0
26.2
8
30%
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
3-3
100%
1-6
2-5
17%
49%
1-6
17%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.5
26.6
22.2
9
64%
4
1
1
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
49%
1-2
50%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.9
15.2
17.0
7
79%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-1
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
51%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.5
13.6
21.9
7
117%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
47%
1-1
100%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.9
7.0
17.7
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.2
8.7
0
2-3
49%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 28.0
5.1
0
1-1
52%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.5
3.2
0
1-1
45%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.7
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.4
38.5
29.3
13
59%
7
4
0
1
0
2
0
7
0-0
-
5-9
4-9
56%
45%
1-2
50%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.8
37.2
26.7
14
58%
7
2
2
1
2
2
4
3
0-0
-
7-12
6-10
58%
53%
0-0
-
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.8
37.1
31.8
18
48%
4
6
0
1
0
6
2
2
4-4
100%
4-14
5-10
29%
47%
2-3
67%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 24.9
35.1
30.2
15
54%
17
4
0
0
0
0
5
12
0-0
-
6-13
5-10
46%
50%
1-1
100%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 33.2
26.1
28.3
18
54%
5
4
2
1
0
3
3
2
3-4
75%
6-12
3-7
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 27.3
27.5
26.5
14
52%
2
5
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
48%
3-7
43%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 24.1
16.2
20.2
2
50%
1
2
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 31.3
15.8
9.6
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.4
6.5
15.4
4
67%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.1
10.7
0
1-3
45%
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 27.0
6.9
0
1-2
43%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.8
5.4
0
1-1
46%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 31.0
2.9
0
0-0
51%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 25.4
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 32.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.