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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 27, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Magic56%101108
30Bobcats44%99114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.7
45.1
35.7
29
62%
9
6
1
1
3
1
1
8
7-8
88%
8-15
5-10
53%
52%
2-5
40%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.9
43.8
37.1
18
65%
4
1
0
2
0
0
2
2
2-4
50%
5-9
5-9
56%
53%
2-3
67%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 31.1
42.3
36.7
13
34%
6
11
0
1
0
5
1
5
0-0
-
5-13
4-8
38%
47%
1-6
17%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23.0
42.3
20.9
23
77%
11
6
1
1
0
0
3
8
1-2
50%
11-14
3-6
79%
53%
0-0
-
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.8
31.4
8.3
13
66%
2
2
1
0
2
1
0
2
1-2
50%
6-8
1-2
75%
51%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.7
17.8
28.8
9
57%
1
5
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
52%
1-2
50%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24.1
11.8
26.4
3
50%
1
2
3
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.4
5.6
5.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.4
15.9
0
2-5
52%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.4
13.3
0
2-5
53%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.3
10.0
0
2-4
54%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 34.0
4.8
0
0-1
47%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.1
3.5
0
0-1
50%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 22.9
44.2
34.0
34
63%
7
9
2
2
2
2
3
4
6-9
67%
11-17
5-11
65%
46%
2-6
33%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.3
42.0
34.3
34
76%
7
2
1
1
0
3
1
6
9-10
90%
11-16
6-13
69%
49%
1-2
50%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 20.6
34.2
31.0
11
49%
7
3
1
1
3
1
2
5
1-5
20%
5-9
2-5
56%
48%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 26.1
33.4
19.3
6
75%
8
3
0
1
1
0
1
7
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
52%
0-1
0%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 19.5
20.4
24.8
6
30%
6
0
0
1
1
0
1
5
2-2
100%
2-9
4-7
22%
49%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.4
19.4
18.9
5
42%
1
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
42%
1-5
20%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.0
18.7
17.9
8
68%
3
3
0
0
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
46%
2-4
50%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.1
13.8
21.6
2
20%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 27.1
9.4
9.1
6
75%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
47%
0-0
-
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 23.8
4.5
19.3
2
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
50%
0-1
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 31.2
5.0
0
0-1
43%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.6
4.4
0
1-2
44%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.5
3.8
0
0-1
52%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.0
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 33.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.