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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 27, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Clippers62%100105
21Hornets38%9691
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 24.0
35.8
33.0
19
61%
5
2
1
1
0
1
3
2
7-8
88%
6-12
7-12
50%
55%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.9
33.7
35.1
16
50%
6
9
4
2
0
3
3
3
6-7
86%
5-8
5-9
63%
53%
0-5
0%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.7
27.6
28.1
7
90%
11
0
0
1
1
0
2
9
1-2
50%
3-3
4-6
100%
63%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 33.0
26.6
26.4
13
57%
2
0
1
1
1
1
0
2
3-3
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
46%
2-4
50%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 36.5
13.4
11.2
11
92%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
44%
3-4
75%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 33.0
23.7
28.1
13
54%
1
2
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
47%
3-6
50%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 33.0
21.4
25.2
8
44%
6
0
0
1
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
54%
2-5
40%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.5
20.4
7.6
6
63%
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
4-4
100%
1-3
1-1
33%
57%
0-0
-
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.3
15.5
13.3
6
109%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
3-4
75%
0-0
2-4
-
48%
1-1
100%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 33.4
12.2
17.6
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.7
9.7
15.2
6
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
49%
2-4
50%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 40.5
6.2
0
1-1
47%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 30.2
3.7
0
0-1
56%
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.2
Maalik Wayns
G · 6'1" 195 · 21.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 20.0
39.3
26.4
19
66%
9
2
1
1
0
1
2
7
1-3
33%
9-13
5-10
69%
52%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.3
34.5
16.4
24
57%
1
3
3
0
0
2
0
1
6-7
86%
9-14
2-5
64%
48%
0-4
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 25.0
29.0
23.9
13
47%
8
2
0
0
1
1
5
3
1-2
50%
6-13
4-8
46%
52%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 26.2
27.8
20.2
0
0%
2
4
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
47%
0-2
0%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.5
19.2
28.9
5
43%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.3
28.2
27.7
10
59%
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-1
0%
2-6
3-7
33%
44%
2-2
100%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.0
22.5
20.2
3
150%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
1-1
100%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.9
21.0
28.4
8
40%
5
0
0
1
1
2
2
3
2-2
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
49%
0-4
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.5
11.3
18.0
6
90%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
3-3
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.3
6.8
11.5
3
85%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-0
-
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.6
0.5
10.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 22.0
7.9
0
1-2
43%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.9
3.3
0
0-1
48%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.7
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 27.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.