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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 27, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Suns31%9588
20Jazz69%102103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.7
40.2
29.8
22
65%
1
1
3
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
4-9
3-8
44%
44%
4-7
57%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 23.6
35.3
27.2
10
54%
6
3
2
1
2
1
1
5
2-3
67%
4-6
3-8
67%
44%
0-2
0%
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.6
34.0
13.7
7
38%
3
13
1
0
0
5
0
3
3-5
60%
2-5
1-1
40%
45%
0-2
0%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 32.9
33.3
23.7
20
50%
7
1
0
1
1
1
3
4
4-5
80%
8-17
4-9
47%
49%
0-1
0%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 27.9
22.1
29.5
4
41%
6
3
0
1
0
2
2
4
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 27.7
25.9
14.7
10
71%
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
53%
2-3
67%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 34.5
15.9
11.5
3
19%
4
1
0
0
1
2
1
3
1-2
50%
1-7
2-4
14%
48%
0-0
-
Diante Garrett
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.4
14.0
4.6
8
80%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
0-1
80%
44%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 27.3
7.8
8.8
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 27.9
6.1
16.7
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.2
5.3
14.5
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
45%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.9
34.4
2
5-9
50%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.6
12.2
0
1-3
45%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.1
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 29.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 28.2
42.4
26.5
25
53%
9
1
2
1
2
2
3
6
1-1
100%
12-23
6-13
52%
51%
0-0
-
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 23.0
41.6
33.6
25
73%
5
6
0
1
0
2
1
4
4-5
80%
6-9
4-8
67%
48%
3-6
50%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 30.3
29.2
29.0
8
40%
3
10
1
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 29.5
25.6
25.5
12
100%
3
3
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
43%
2-2
100%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 28.1
23.4
25.4
12
67%
4
2
2
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
6-9
5-9
67%
52%
0-0
-
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 21.7
24.6
21.4
9
57%
13
1
2
1
2
5
4
9
1-2
50%
4-7
3-7
57%
51%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 26.8
22.4
21.6
5
39%
4
3
0
1
1
0
0
4
1-1
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 21.7
20.3
17.1
5
36%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-2
0%
1-4
2-5
25%
47%
1-2
50%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 35.1
4.9
5.2
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 20.9
3.5
18.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
4-7
0%
55%
0-0
-
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 25.4
2.2
5.3
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
59%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 33.8
8.8
0
0-1
44%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.7
5.8
0
1-1
52%
Jerel McNeal
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.8
Kevin Murphy
G · 6'6" 185 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.