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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 28, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Lakers51%105103
14Bucks49%104113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.6
38.9
28.7
11
43%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
47%
1-6
17%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.3
38.3
33.7
15
60%
15
2
0
1
3
2
5
10
3-10
30%
6-8
6-10
75%
58%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 34.6
36.5
34.9
30
58%
2
3
0
1
0
6
0
2
18-20
90%
6-14
7-14
43%
49%
0-3
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 32.7
31.9
28.1
12
50%
9
3
1
0
1
4
2
7
0-0
-
6-11
5-10
55%
50%
0-1
0%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 39.1
23.4
33.2
16
87%
3
6
2
1
1
4
2
1
5-5
100%
4-5
4-8
80%
52%
1-2
50%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 33.1
31.0
25.8
6
38%
0
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
2-6
33%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.8
23.3
21.2
13
60%
7
0
0
0
1
1
2
5
2-2
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.2
16.9
13.9
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 33.4
17.8
1
1-3
46%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 23.4
3.0
0
0-1
45%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.6
2.8
0
0-0
47%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 22.2
2.4
0
0-0
44%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.8
2.0
0
0-0
48%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.4
36.0
37.7
18
53%
7
9
2
2
0
3
1
6
2-2
100%
8-14
6-13
57%
48%
0-2
0%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.5
32.5
27.9
20
65%
2
7
0
1
0
2
1
1
3-3
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
44%
3-6
50%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.9
30.7
32.5
20
56%
4
2
4
1
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
6-12
5-10
50%
50%
2-5
40%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 32.2
30.5
16.6
16
64%
1
1
3
1
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
6-11
2-4
55%
47%
1-1
100%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.3
29.6
30.2
21
68%
13
1
1
1
2
0
6
7
5-10
50%
8-11
5-11
73%
51%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.8
22.3
29.5
7
50%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
49%
1-4
25%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.5
16.1
24.0
2
35%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.5
13.1
18.9
2
20%
5
0
1
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.9
12.5
13.1
3
39%
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
0
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.9
9.4
16.1
2
25%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
52%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.7
7.4
3.2
2
50%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
41%
0-0
-
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.2
6.1
0
1-3
50%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.5
3.4
0
1-1
45%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 28.0
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.