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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 30, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Bulls41%9798
11Mavericks59%100100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.5
44.4
35.1
4
20%
6
5
0
1
1
2
3
3
2-4
50%
1-5
3-7
20%
50%
0-3
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.0
41.4
38.3
25
70%
7
2
1
1
0
2
3
4
1-2
50%
6-10
6-12
60%
47%
4-7
57%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.4
36.6
33.7
25
66%
11
2
1
1
1
2
3
8
3-7
43%
11-16
7-15
69%
50%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.2
35.1
26.4
10
48%
3
6
1
1
0
2
0
3
3-3
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
44%
1-2
50%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.6
23.4
17.8
2
33%
6
1
2
0
2
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.8
31.7
24.8
25
78%
3
6
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-9
3-7
22%
47%
7-7
100%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
19.6
26.7
7
44%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
3-7
4-9
43%
50%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.9
8.0
12.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
39%
0-2
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.0
21.8
1
2-5
44%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.1
3.7
0
0-1
45%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.4
2.4
0
0-0
45%
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.4
1.6
0
0-0
45%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 35.1
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.4
41.9
34.1
4
14%
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-10
3-7
10%
47%
0-3
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.8
33.7
31.1
35
98%
7
1
0
1
1
2
0
7
2-2
100%
9-11
5-11
82%
49%
5-6
83%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.9
33.0
24.2
10
56%
8
2
0
1
4
1
2
6
0-0
-
5-9
3-7
56%
51%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 37.8
30.8
22.4
5
28%
1
7
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
41%
0-3
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 34.1
16.4
18.9
2
50%
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36.2
32.0
25.0
17
51%
5
4
1
1
1
1
0
5
4-6
67%
5-9
2-5
56%
46%
1-5
20%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.5
22.8
23.2
17
87%
13
2
0
1
1
1
6
7
3-4
75%
7-8
4-8
88%
59%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.6
19.7
25.0
8
58%
1
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.7
9.9
14.3
2
50%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.9
7.1
0
1-3
48%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.5
6.4
0
1-2
45%
Justin Dentmon
G · 5'11" 185 · 27.6
3.5
0
0-1
42%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.1
3.0
0
0-1
50%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.1
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.