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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 30, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Grizzlies52%9599
16Timberwolves48%9486
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.2
35.1
31.2
21
72%
8
6
0
1
3
4
2
6
5-6
83%
8-12
5-10
67%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.5
33.3
36.3
19
63%
1
5
2
2
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
5-12
4-9
42%
47%
3-3
100%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.7
28.8
29.9
14
55%
7
1
1
1
0
0
0
7
4-4
100%
5-11
5-11
45%
48%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 33.1
27.4
35.1
4
50%
2
4
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
4-9
50%
45%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 31.2
21.5
25.2
7
52%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-4
25%
3-5
4-8
60%
48%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.6
29.4
26.9
4
26%
3
7
2
1
0
0
0
3
4-6
67%
0-3
3-7
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.1
18.8
19.9
7
58%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.0
16.0
12.4
15
73%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
2-3
67%
5-7
2-4
71%
48%
1-2
50%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.8
14.4
13.3
3
40%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
3-4
75%
0-2
2-4
0%
54%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.8
13.4
6.3
5
63%
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
43%
1-1
100%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 20.0
1.0
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 23.9
1.0
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 25.1
1.7
0
0-1
47%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.5
40.1
13.8
12
76%
7
1
2
0
2
2
3
4
2-2
100%
5-7
1-3
71%
48%
0-0
-
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.4
39.6
28.6
23
67%
10
9
1
2
0
5
3
7
10-12
83%
5-10
3-8
50%
40%
1-2
50%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.8
36.9
25.5
19
45%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
7-12
58%
6-12
4-8
50%
46%
0-4
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.1
32.8
26.8
7
50%
4
4
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.1
28.3
26.3
5
44%
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
3-6
50%
1-2
3-6
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.9
19.6
21.6
2
17%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
49%
0-2
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.8
17.1
21.5
5
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.9
15.8
21.1
4
25%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-8
4-8
25%
48%
0-0
-
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 24.3
7.0
14.6
9
116%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
2-2
100%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 27.7
1.9
3.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.9
1.0
5.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 27.2
31.9
1
6-11
52%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.6
9.0
0
1-3
47%
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.9
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.