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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 30, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Trail Blazers26%9898
12Warriors74%107125
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 21.1
41.0
26.5
22
60%
10
1
0
0
1
0
2
8
3-3
100%
8-16
3-6
50%
53%
1-1
100%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 24.3
37.3
35.5
8
37%
3
9
1
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
2-8
25%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.5
31.9
33.3
18
68%
3
0
2
1
0
1
2
1
4-5
80%
4-5
2-5
80%
45%
2-6
33%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.7
31.4
35.9
16
57%
1
8
1
1
0
3
0
1
6-7
86%
2-8
4-10
25%
47%
2-3
67%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 24.6
28.1
29.0
15
68%
10
0
0
1
0
2
2
8
5-7
71%
5-8
5-10
63%
53%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.8
17.6
21.5
5
29%
1
4
0
1
0
0
1
0
3-4
75%
1-5
2-5
20%
40%
0-2
0%
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 24.6
13.8
12.1
3
44%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 22.2
12.0
5.6
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-4
1-1
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 26.1
10.1
10.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-5
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.8
10.0
5.1
5
63%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
42%
1-2
50%
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.7
6.9
4.5
6
60%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
1-1
60%
42%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 29.4
4.2
0
0-0
43%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.3
3.6
0
0-1
39%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.8
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.0
37.5
39.0
39
82%
5
6
1
2
0
3
2
3
4-4
100%
7-10
5-10
70%
49%
7-12
58%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.8
33.9
24.1
11
49%
7
1
1
1
1
1
0
7
3-3
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 23.1
26.3
34.6
6
39%
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
3-4
75%
0-2
4-8
0%
47%
1-4
25%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.9
24.7
36.4
13
47%
8
3
0
1
0
1
2
6
3-4
75%
5-12
7-13
42%
53%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 28.3
21.7
26.9
10
56%
6
1
0
1
2
0
3
3
0-2
0%
5-8
3-6
63%
53%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.4
28.1
31.0
4
34%
5
6
1
1
1
2
0
5
2-2
100%
1-5
5-9
20%
49%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.5
22.9
16.3
25
92%
10
0
0
0
0
0
3
7
7-8
88%
9-10
3-5
90%
55%
0-0
-
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.1
18.0
5.8
0
0%
2
1
1
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.4
14.4
10.2
4
100%
4
1
1
0
2
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 23.7
6.3
4.1
7
70%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 32.8
6.3
3.4
6
75%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
0-0
75%
49%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.0
3.6
0
0-0
60%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.