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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 31, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Cavaliers37%9792
19Hornets63%102112
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.3
32.6
28.1
12
60%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 22.1
28.9
23.9
12
64%
10
1
0
1
2
1
2
8
0-1
0%
6-9
4-8
67%
49%
0-0
-
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 21.0
28.7
28.5
31
68%
2
6
0
1
0
3
0
2
6-6
100%
8-15
5-11
53%
50%
3-5
60%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.2
24.4
27.9
4
40%
6
0
0
1
1
2
0
6
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
48%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.8
23.2
25.7
4
29%
1
2
3
1
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
2-5
3-5
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 25.7
20.8
14.6
12
67%
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
6-9
3-6
67%
47%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 26.0
19.0
25.4
3
17%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-5
2-5
0%
47%
1-4
25%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 27.6
18.1
28.8
11
87%
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
0
3-3
100%
4-5
4-8
80%
48%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.0
17.9
20.4
3
38%
2
3
2
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.1
16.6
22.0
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
39%
0-3
0%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.8
8.6
2.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
46%
0-0
-
Kevin Jones
F · 6'8" 260 · 23.6
1.3
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.5
11.6
0
1-2
42%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.3
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 20.1
37.2
29.3
17
54%
13
2
1
1
2
0
3
10
7-11
64%
5-11
6-11
45%
55%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 26.2
35.4
16.5
25
79%
2
9
3
0
0
3
0
2
3-4
75%
8-12
2-5
67%
49%
2-2
100%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.3
28.0
26.5
14
53%
4
6
0
1
1
3
0
4
4-5
80%
5-8
4-8
63%
50%
0-3
0%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.5
19.4
27.7
4
69%
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 25.0
15.8
22.3
3
26%
4
0
0
0
2
2
4
0
1-2
50%
1-5
4-8
20%
54%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.9
31.8
27.0
23
82%
6
2
1
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
51%
5-7
71%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.3
25.0
31.8
15
90%
1
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
2-3
4-8
67%
47%
3-4
75%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.0
23.4
20.3
8
57%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
50%
2-4
50%
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.6
12.9
5.3
1
17%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.3
10.4
10.5
2
100%
4
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.9
0.5
6.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 22.0
0.5
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.6
14.2
0
1-2
47%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 27.1
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.