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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 31, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Pistons29%9294
12Bulls71%10095
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 21.3
36.5
24.2
5
42%
1
4
2
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
44%
1-2
50%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.5
33.7
29.3
11
62%
0
5
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 22.8
31.6
29.5
18
61%
10
4
2
1
2
4
1
9
4-6
67%
7-12
5-11
58%
49%
0-0
-
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.9
27.0
30.2
8
90%
6
1
0
1
0
1
1
5
1-1
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
46%
1-1
100%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 19.6
22.6
15.4
8
48%
14
2
0
1
1
0
4
10
0-3
0%
4-7
2-5
57%
54%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.9
28.9
25.8
25
60%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
8-16
3-6
50%
45%
2-3
67%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 28.6
24.1
8.6
14
47%
5
1
0
0
2
2
0
5
4-4
100%
2-6
1-2
33%
46%
2-7
29%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 26.1
17.8
23.5
5
64%
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
2-2
3-6
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Kim English
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.5
11.7
15.6
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.6
6.2
12.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.2
9.2
0
2-3
47%
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 25.6
7.6
0
1-1
51%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 33.4
3.9
0
0-1
44%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.0
42.5
38.8
28
55%
9
2
0
1
0
1
4
5
11-17
65%
4-10
6-11
40%
48%
3-8
38%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.5
38.7
38.3
16
73%
4
1
5
1
1
1
1
3
7-9
78%
3-5
4-7
60%
51%
1-2
50%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.2
34.1
30.3
3
28%
1
6
3
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.4
22.4
34.2
11
46%
7
1
0
1
0
3
3
4
1-2
50%
5-11
8-15
45%
51%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.6
17.9
20.2
0
0%
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
30.1
23.2
11
58%
4
0
0
1
3
1
1
3
5-8
63%
3-6
4-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.8
28.8
27.7
16
44%
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-12
4-7
42%
49%
2-6
33%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.9
25.4
10.5
10
60%
6
4
0
0
0
0
0
6
2-3
67%
1-2
1-2
50%
40%
2-5
40%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.1
0.2
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.4
2.5
0
0-0
43%
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.4
1.7
0
0-0
47%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 35.1
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.0
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.