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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 31, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Heat39%9788
1Spurs61%10186
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.5
42.9
20.2
13
43%
1
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
5-7
71%
4-10
2-4
40%
43%
0-2
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 29.0
36.6
27.3
23
72%
9
3
0
1
2
2
1
8
2-2
100%
6-10
5-9
60%
51%
3-5
60%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.6
30.4
5.8
7
32%
3
3
1
0
4
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
0-1
40%
46%
1-6
17%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.1
24.3
14.5
12
75%
3
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
45%
4-6
67%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.8
20.9
18.0
8
57%
7
0
0
0
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
4-7
1-3
57%
46%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.7
30.8
22.8
14
58%
3
5
0
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
2-3
57%
47%
2-5
40%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.6
27.1
27.1
6
60%
2
1
3
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
2-4
50%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34.7
17.7
15.1
4
72%
5
1
0
0
1
1
0
5
2-4
50%
1-1
2-3
100%
54%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.5
5.4
3.6
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.6
3.7
4.0
1
57%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
51%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.2
34.3
1
7-12
55%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.2
33.9
2
7-14
51%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 40.1
3.6
0
0-1
40%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.9
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.8
37.4
32.4
17
65%
11
1
2
2
0
1
5
6
0-0
-
7-10
4-7
70%
55%
1-3
33%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.9
36.7
33.3
12
38%
5
8
0
1
0
1
0
5
4-4
100%
4-11
7-14
36%
53%
0-3
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.9
35.1
31.9
17
52%
12
4
1
1
2
2
3
9
1-3
33%
8-15
7-15
53%
50%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.8
31.7
28.3
12
39%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-3
33%
1-5
2-4
20%
48%
3-9
33%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28.2
28.0
27.9
7
53%
10
2
2
1
0
2
3
7
3-6
50%
2-4
4-7
50%
58%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.0
18.9
21.0
2
50%
4
3
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
56%
0-1
0%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.5
18.4
13.5
5
31%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
1-5
20%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 35.0
14.6
12.6
11
69%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
4-6
1-2
67%
46%
1-2
50%
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.8
11.3
10.3
3
150%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
1-1
100%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.0
7.9
7.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.6
7.5
0
1-2
47%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.6
4.9
0
0-1
50%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.9
4.9
0
1-2
53%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.7
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 26.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.