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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 1, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Celtics37%93100
17Timberwolves63%97110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.6
38.3
35.0
10
50%
7
5
0
1
0
5
1
6
0-0
-
5-10
5-10
50%
49%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.9
33.0
26.8
13
44%
6
2
0
1
1
1
2
4
3-4
75%
5-13
3-7
38%
48%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.3
30.3
27.1
19
64%
0
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
7-9
3-7
78%
46%
1-5
20%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.5
24.8
18.4
7
44%
2
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-3
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.6
11.9
13.6
4
100%
6
1
1
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
58%
0-0
-
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 24.4
28.4
24.0
11
50%
6
5
0
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.5
26.1
23.2
14
72%
2
3
2
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
2-3
67%
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.8
22.3
16.3
14
64%
6
5
1
0
0
0
1
5
0-2
0%
4-7
2-4
57%
43%
2-3
67%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 29.4
21.1
13.1
8
68%
2
1
0
0
2
2
1
1
0-2
0%
4-5
2-4
80%
45%
0-0
-
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.6
3.8
5.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.5
33.0
1
4-8
47%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.9
8.8
0
2-4
49%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 27.1
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.8
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 21.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 27.2
41.4
23.1
29
73%
5
1
1
1
1
0
1
4
11-11
100%
9-15
4-8
60%
54%
0-0
-
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.4
34.5
31.3
9
33%
3
10
2
2
0
2
0
3
5-6
83%
2-9
4-9
22%
41%
0-2
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.1
26.6
26.3
17
97%
9
5
2
1
0
2
2
7
4-4
100%
5-6
3-6
83%
53%
1-1
100%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.9
24.5
28.4
11
61%
3
2
1
1
3
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
4-9
57%
48%
1-2
50%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.1
19.9
28.1
2
14%
1
1
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
50%
0-3
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.8
30.4
19.9
11
55%
4
7
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
46%
1-4
25%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.9
23.9
19.3
19
65%
5
0
2
1
0
0
1
4
5-6
83%
7-12
3-7
58%
49%
0-0
-
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 24.3
22.3
12.3
9
56%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
46%
1-3
33%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.9
16.5
20.7
3
38%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
1-3
33%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.5
21.7
1
2-5
50%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.6
8.9
0
1-3
48%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.9
4.1
0
0-1
52%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 27.7
2.9
0
0-1
53%
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.9
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.