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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 1, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Trail Blazers33%99102
15Jazz67%104112
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.7
39.5
33.5
17
53%
5
5
0
1
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
4-9
4-9
44%
47%
3-7
43%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 21.1
37.7
30.6
12
64%
7
3
0
0
1
5
1
6
2-3
67%
5-8
4-8
63%
54%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.5
31.2
32.2
23
83%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
5-6
2-5
83%
47%
4-7
57%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 24.3
29.3
35.2
10
71%
0
4
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
2-4
50%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 24.6
25.1
28.0
7
51%
7
0
0
1
0
2
1
6
1-2
50%
3-6
5-9
50%
54%
0-0
-
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 24.6
28.8
12.7
12
89%
5
2
1
0
0
2
0
5
2-4
50%
2-2
1-2
100%
49%
2-3
67%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.8
23.9
19.9
10
73%
1
8
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
41%
1-1
100%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 26.1
16.4
10.3
2
33%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 22.2
5.2
8.1
4
69%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.7
3.0
5.6
5
133%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
43%
1-1
100%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.8
7.1
0
0-1
42%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 29.4
3.9
0
0-0
43%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.3
3.4
0
0-1
41%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.7
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 28.1
37.2
30.7
16
67%
2
2
1
1
0
1
2
0
2-2
100%
7-11
6-11
64%
52%
0-0
-
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 28.2
30.6
32.6
24
55%
10
2
2
1
2
1
3
7
0-2
0%
12-21
8-16
57%
51%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 30.3
29.1
28.5
20
83%
1
9
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
4-8
20%
47%
6-7
86%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 23.0
28.2
36.1
12
68%
5
3
0
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
5-7
4-8
71%
48%
0-1
0%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 29.5
25.1
27.2
11
70%
1
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
3-6
50%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 21.7
28.2
23.3
18
86%
7
2
1
1
0
1
2
5
6-8
75%
6-7
4-7
86%
51%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 21.7
20.8
13.5
7
39%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
47%
0-4
0%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 35.1
18.9
12.7
0
0%
1
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 26.8
8.8
19.1
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.7
8.7
4.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
51%
0-4
0%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 25.4
3.0
3.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
59%
0-0
-
Kevin Murphy
G · 6'6" 185 · 23.1
1.5
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 33.8
5.3
0
0-1
44%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 20.9
Jerel McNeal
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.