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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 2, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Mavericks41%10381
8Lakers59%106101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.4
34.1
36.2
12
60%
5
4
1
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.8
33.3
31.5
11
35%
5
6
1
1
1
1
0
5
2-6
33%
3-10
6-11
30%
49%
1-3
33%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.9
27.6
27.4
9
46%
7
2
1
1
1
0
6
1
1-2
50%
4-9
4-8
44%
51%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 37.8
20.6
25.2
0
0%
2
4
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.9
19.8
5.5
14
70%
6
0
2
0
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
7-10
1-2
70%
49%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.6
28.7
22.7
11
46%
1
6
3
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-8
3-5
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36.2
27.5
27.2
11
40%
1
0
0
1
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
2-7
3-6
29%
46%
2-6
33%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.5
17.9
22.9
6
61%
3
0
0
1
3
0
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
5-8
50%
59%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.7
16.2
13.0
7
117%
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
1-1
100%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 34.1
12.5
17.9
0
0%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.5
0.9
4.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Justin Dentmon
G · 5'11" 185 · 27.6
0.9
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.1
2.4
0
0-1
50%
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.9
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 34.6
47.1
38.4
23
53%
11
11
4
1
2
4
1
10
7-8
88%
8-15
7-14
53%
50%
0-3
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 33.1
37.9
28.5
11
69%
5
1
1
1
0
4
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
43%
3-7
43%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.3
37.0
35.7
24
58%
12
1
1
1
1
2
4
8
10-20
50%
7-12
6-11
58%
59%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.6
36.5
33.2
8
40%
6
3
1
1
0
2
3
3
2-2
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
48%
2-5
40%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 32.7
34.7
30.0
14
50%
10
6
0
0
0
4
5
5
2-2
100%
6-13
5-10
46%
51%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.2
29.3
16.9
17
59%
12
1
1
0
5
0
5
7
0-1
0%
4-9
2-3
44%
47%
3-5
60%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.8
16.6
21.3
4
29%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
49%
0-4
0%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.8
0.9
1.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
51%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 39.1
18.5
0
2-5
54%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 33.4
11.7
1
1-2
47%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.6
3.9
0
0-0
47%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 23.4
2.9
0
0-1
47%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 22.2
2.1
0
0-0
46%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.