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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 3, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Wizards37%9278
17Raptors63%9788
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.5
33.6
24.0
17
50%
8
0
1
1
1
3
1
7
1-2
50%
8-16
4-8
50%
52%
0-0
-
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.6
32.6
34.5
20
47%
5
5
0
1
0
2
1
4
10-10
100%
5-16
7-14
31%
46%
0-1
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.6
32.3
18.6
12
47%
5
1
1
1
1
3
2
3
2-2
100%
5-12
3-7
42%
52%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 26.3
25.7
24.5
4
20%
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-4
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
0-4
0%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 26.9
15.9
20.7
0
0%
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 27.8
34.2
25.9
8
44%
7
1
1
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
2-5
40%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.5
19.3
16.1
5
30%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-5
40%
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
1-4
25%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.4
16.4
7.6
6
50%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
2-5
40%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.4
15.6
21.0
2
36%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-4
50%
0-1
3-5
0%
52%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 23.3
10.4
19.3
4
52%
4
1
1
0
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
48%
0-0
-
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 22.9
4.0
8.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.4
9.7
0
1-2
42%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.3
4.1
0
0-0
41%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.3
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 19.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.9
40.7
33.9
24
80%
10
1
1
1
2
3
0
10
16-18
89%
4-7
5-9
57%
55%
0-0
-
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.7
37.4
34.8
25
54%
1
1
1
1
1
3
0
1
3-5
60%
11-21
6-13
52%
47%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 27.0
36.9
29.6
9
42%
8
13
0
1
0
2
0
8
4-6
67%
1-5
2-4
20%
46%
1-3
33%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.9
34.5
29.9
9
53%
7
1
2
1
2
1
1
6
1-1
100%
4-8
5-8
50%
58%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.6
26.2
30.5
6
31%
8
2
2
1
0
4
1
7
2-4
50%
2-5
5-11
40%
48%
0-3
0%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.5
19.9
5.6
8
80%
3
0
0
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-5
1-1
80%
48%
0-0
-
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
17.5
21.5
3
80%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-1
2-5
100%
52%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 27.8
11.1
12.3
2
20%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
43%
0-1
0%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22.2
7.9
15.1
2
50%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.5
7.9
21.2
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
44%
0-1
0%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.4
7.8
0
1-2
43%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.3
4.3
0
0-1
53%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 31.2
3.4
0
0-0
46%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 28.2
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.