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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 3, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Pistons39%9593
23Celtics61%9898
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 22.8
39.1
32.1
24
51%
17
3
2
1
0
6
9
8
2-3
67%
11-21
6-12
52%
49%
0-1
0%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.0
37.2
27.2
22
49%
2
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
11-15
73%
4-10
3-7
40%
45%
1-6
17%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 21.3
36.8
28.3
7
32%
3
4
0
1
0
2
2
1
2-2
100%
1-7
3-6
14%
44%
1-3
33%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.9
24.9
24.5
7
44%
5
1
0
1
0
2
2
3
1-2
50%
3-6
2-5
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 19.6
20.5
18.6
8
55%
9
1
1
1
0
2
7
2
0-3
0%
4-6
3-6
67%
54%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 26.1
27.5
23.2
19
78%
5
1
3
1
0
1
0
5
5-5
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
50%
2-3
67%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.6
23.4
15.6
2
50%
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 28.6
23.4
14.0
4
12%
9
5
1
0
0
2
3
6
0-0
-
2-9
1-3
22%
46%
0-8
0%
Kim English
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.5
7.0
9.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.5
33.9
1
3-5
49%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.2
6.2
0
1-2
46%
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 25.6
4.4
0
0-1
51%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 33.4
3.9
0
0-1
45%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.6
42.6
35.0
34
77%
6
1
1
1
4
3
2
4
5-7
71%
10-15
5-10
67%
52%
3-4
75%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.9
36.9
28.2
17
80%
7
1
0
1
3
4
0
7
5-6
83%
6-8
4-7
75%
50%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.4
33.5
27.7
11
69%
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
49%
1-1
100%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.5
33.3
23.7
17
51%
3
5
1
1
0
2
0
3
6-6
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
49%
1-6
17%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.6
20.1
13.0
2
50%
5
2
1
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
61%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.5
22.3
23.5
10
56%
5
2
1
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
2-6
33%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 29.4
13.3
15.5
2
100%
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.8
13.1
17.8
2
50%
4
3
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.5
12.7
20.4
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
0-2
0%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 24.4
12.3
24.8
3
28%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.9
8.2
0
2-3
52%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.6
4.9
0
1-1
51%
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.8
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 27.1
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 21.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.