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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 3, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Timberwolves42%99107
14Bucks58%10298
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 27.2
36.7
29.2
27
79%
8
3
1
1
0
1
3
5
5-7
71%
11-14
6-11
79%
53%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.1
34.5
25.0
13
70%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
3-3
100%
5-8
3-5
63%
50%
0-0
-
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.5
34.4
31.8
19
79%
4
12
8
2
0
8
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
4-9
33%
41%
5-6
83%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.1
33.8
26.0
12
56%
4
4
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-4
25%
4-8
3-6
50%
53%
1-1
100%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.9
18.7
26.7
15
63%
6
3
0
1
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
6-10
4-8
60%
47%
1-2
50%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.9
29.3
20.8
8
34%
8
1
1
1
0
1
2
6
2-2
100%
3-11
4-8
27%
49%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.8
14.8
23.3
4
50%
1
3
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 24.3
14.0
15.9
5
63%
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.9
12.5
19.2
2
14%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
49%
0-1
0%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.5
11.3
15.2
2
33%
4
2
2
1
3
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
49%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.6
9.1
0
1-3
48%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.9
3.9
0
0-1
52%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 27.7
2.7
0
0-1
52%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.7
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.4
39.3
37.0
18
41%
5
3
1
2
1
6
0
5
2-4
50%
5-13
6-12
38%
48%
2-7
29%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.9
37.2
30.8
29
66%
12
0
2
1
2
3
8
4
2-2
100%
9-16
5-10
56%
50%
3-5
60%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.5
36.5
28.6
13
45%
3
8
3
1
0
3
1
2
1-1
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
44%
0-4
0%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.4
34.1
29.4
11
43%
10
4
1
1
2
2
5
5
1-2
50%
5-12
6-11
42%
51%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 32.2
15.8
21.5
2
25%
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.5
32.2
21.4
15
83%
4
2
2
0
2
3
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
3-5
60%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.8
22.9
25.0
8
31%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-11
2-5
36%
50%
0-2
0%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.9
9.4
16.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
46%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.9
6.7
7.1
2
100%
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.6
6.0
17.7
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.3
5.9
0
1-2
50%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.7
4.3
0
0-1
41%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.5
3.3
0
1-1
46%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.5
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 28.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.