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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 3, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Magic14%9284
2Spurs86%10698
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.9
42.2
38.7
18
41%
9
2
0
2
2
2
3
6
2-2
100%
8-19
5-10
42%
49%
0-2
0%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.7
41.5
38.0
11
29%
7
5
1
1
3
4
1
6
0-0
-
4-13
5-12
31%
47%
1-6
17%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.7
39.5
31.6
14
59%
3
8
3
1
0
4
0
3
2-2
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
47%
2-3
67%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.4
36.0
26.3
16
58%
14
2
4
1
2
0
4
10
2-2
100%
7-13
5-10
54%
48%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.3
9.9
13.6
2
25%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
49%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24.1
23.9
22.7
3
22%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-4
2-6
25%
41%
0-2
0%
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.8
20.0
20.2
12
64%
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
45%
1-2
50%
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.4
16.1
9.7
8
100%
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
38%
2-2
100%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23.0
11.0
19.5
0
0%
3
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 31.1
14.6
0
1-3
43%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.5
8.9
0
1-3
48%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 34.0
4.9
0
0-1
43%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.1
3.4
0
0-1
46%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.8
28.6
13.1
8
40%
7
6
2
0
1
2
0
7
1-2
50%
2-6
1-2
33%
53%
1-3
33%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.8
27.9
29.8
20
92%
3
3
2
1
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
50%
4-7
57%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.0
24.9
23.7
4
29%
7
4
0
1
1
3
5
2
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
58%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 35.0
19.7
20.7
2
11%
1
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
49%
0-4
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.9
13.6
32.5
5
43%
4
0
0
1
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
2-5
8-15
40%
53%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.5
31.5
20.0
16
57%
8
2
0
0
0
0
0
8
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
48%
4-8
50%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.6
24.9
4.8
7
32%
2
4
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
0-1
40%
53%
1-6
17%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.0
22.2
12.5
9
51%
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
2
1-2
50%
4-7
1-1
57%
53%
0-1
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 26.3
18.0
4.3
9
61%
5
0
0
0
0
2
2
3
1-3
33%
4-6
1-1
67%
55%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28.3
16.4
26.4
10
63%
9
1
1
1
0
0
3
6
2-2
100%
4-7
4-7
57%
61%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.6
12.3
5.5
8
100%
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
4-4
1-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.9
33.2
1
8-14
55%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.9
10.4
0
2-3
56%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.8
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.