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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 3, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Nuggets53%102113
16Jazz47%10196
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.7
32.7
31.1
21
78%
4
3
0
1
0
3
2
2
7-8
88%
4-6
3-6
67%
46%
2-4
50%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.2
31.5
32.5
10
43%
0
6
2
2
1
3
0
0
1-4
25%
3-6
3-6
50%
50%
1-4
25%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 37.0
26.5
28.7
13
54%
2
6
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-11
4-8
45%
50%
1-1
100%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.4
25.7
22.2
19
78%
8
0
0
1
2
2
3
5
3-5
60%
8-10
4-7
80%
56%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.1
23.6
22.1
2
50%
13
0
0
1
1
0
2
11
0-0
-
1-2
4-6
50%
58%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 27.1
27.6
24.3
14
73%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
5-6
83%
3-4
4-7
75%
50%
1-3
33%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.9
25.4
28.7
10
46%
4
3
0
1
2
0
0
4
1-2
50%
3-6
4-8
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.4
21.5
10.4
18
87%
2
2
3
0
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
6-7
1-2
86%
49%
1-2
50%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.2
18.5
17.9
2
33%
3
0
0
0
2
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
4-6
33%
56%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 23.7
2.7
5.6
4
114%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 26.7
2.2
4.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22.5
1.0
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.4
1.0
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 25.4
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 28.2
36.2
31.3
16
63%
9
3
1
1
1
1
1
8
2-4
50%
7-11
8-16
64%
50%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 30.3
32.4
28.2
4
17%
5
7
1
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-9
3-7
22%
46%
0-3
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 28.1
31.0
32.5
16
58%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
6-12
6-11
50%
51%
0-0
-
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 23.0
30.6
32.8
18
65%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
4-7
3-7
57%
47%
3-6
50%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 29.5
26.9
26.0
7
35%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
2-8
25%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 21.7
28.1
24.7
8
45%
6
1
0
1
1
1
1
5
2-2
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
50%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 26.8
22.2
15.6
10
71%
2
3
0
0
1
2
2
0
0-0
-
5-6
1-3
83%
47%
0-1
0%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 21.7
18.3
16.2
8
52%
2
2
2
0
1
0
0
2
2-4
50%
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 35.1
5.2
14.9
5
83%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
44%
1-2
50%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.7
3.1
6.6
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 33.8
3.1
5.0
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 25.4
3.1
4.1
2
100%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
58%
0-0
-
Jerel McNeal
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.8
8.0
0
1-2
44%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 20.9
Kevin Murphy
G · 6'6" 185 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.