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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 3, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Rockets55%108112
20Kings45%106102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.6
39.8
16.9
21
49%
7
9
0
1
2
5
1
6
5-6
83%
5-11
2-4
45%
51%
2-8
25%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.4
39.6
31.7
29
77%
5
4
0
1
1
3
0
5
2-2
100%
9-12
4-7
75%
55%
3-6
50%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.7
35.6
27.2
19
79%
10
1
2
1
0
2
0
10
7-9
78%
6-8
4-7
75%
56%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.6
34.1
26.7
15
54%
1
10
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-7
4-7
29%
50%
3-6
50%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.2
19.9
23.6
2
50%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
60%
0-0
-
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.2
29.0
2.5
14
59%
12
1
2
0
0
1
8
4
2-2
100%
6-10
0-1
60%
52%
0-1
0%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.7
13.9
21.2
2
20%
2
5
0
1
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.3
12.6
17.4
3
50%
2
1
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
1-3
33%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.5
11.4
22.1
7
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
57%
1-3
33%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 24.0
4.0
25.0
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 22.0
13.6
1
2-4
48%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.2
3.8
0
0-1
49%
Tim Ohlbrecht
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 24.6
2.4
0
0-1
52%
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 22.0
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.3
38.6
36.3
0
0%
1
5
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 24.2
35.4
27.7
12
33%
0
5
1
1
1
2
0
0
5-5
100%
2-9
3-6
22%
51%
1-7
14%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.7
32.2
22.4
17
58%
15
1
1
0
2
0
3
12
5-6
83%
6-12
4-8
50%
52%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.5
28.9
34.9
22
51%
4
0
4
1
0
1
2
2
6-8
75%
5-13
5-10
38%
50%
2-5
40%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.6
26.6
30.7
20
59%
6
2
2
1
0
2
3
3
6-9
67%
7-13
6-13
54%
47%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.8
22.0
22.2
21
76%
1
1
2
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
5-7
3-5
71%
50%
3-6
50%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.1
15.8
24.0
2
25%
3
1
0
0
0
1
3
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
52%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.1
12.6
11.3
0
0%
2
3
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.4
12.0
5.4
0
0%
6
0
0
0
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.8
9.4
13.0
2
114%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.5
6.5
4.9
6
77%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
42%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.1
6.0
0
1-2
44%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.1
3.4
0
1-1
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.