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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 3, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Grizzlies69%9994
27Trail Blazers31%9276
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.5
31.4
34.5
20
73%
2
5
1
2
0
1
0
2
3-6
50%
4-6
4-9
67%
48%
3-5
60%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 31.2
28.8
22.3
14
55%
2
3
5
1
0
0
0
2
4-6
67%
5-10
3-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.2
28.5
32.7
6
60%
5
5
2
1
1
4
2
3
0-0
-
3-5
6-11
60%
52%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.7
27.8
28.5
17
68%
8
2
1
1
0
1
1
7
7-8
88%
5-9
5-10
56%
49%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 33.1
20.3
30.1
6
43%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
46%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.6
28.1
27.0
2
11%
0
7
0
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-5
3-7
0%
47%
0-3
0%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.1
24.2
18.0
10
87%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.8
18.5
14.0
12
87%
10
1
1
0
0
0
4
6
2-2
100%
5-6
2-4
83%
55%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.0
15.1
14.7
2
50%
1
0
0
0
3
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.8
10.8
10.4
3
75%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
1-2
50%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 23.9
2.7
2.3
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.9
1.9
6.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 25.1
1.9
1.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 20.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.7
40.7
34.7
17
44%
4
6
0
1
1
5
0
4
0-1
0%
7-13
4-9
54%
46%
1-6
17%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.5
39.4
31.1
12
38%
2
0
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
46%
2-10
20%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 24.6
37.0
26.4
17
64%
9
2
1
1
1
2
3
6
1-3
33%
8-12
4-8
67%
53%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 21.1
28.3
32.3
10
63%
7
2
0
0
0
2
2
5
2-2
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
53%
0-0
-
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 24.6
26.4
18.5
7
70%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
1-3
33%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.8
30.6
21.0
2
25%
0
10
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
40%
0-2
0%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 26.2
17.4
12.5
7
72%
3
0
2
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
3-4
2-3
75%
45%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 22.2
9.9
7.3
2
17%
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.8
7.5
5.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-4
0%
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.7
2.7
5.0
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
42%
0-2
0%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 29.4
3.7
0
0-0
44%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.4
3.4
0
0-1
40%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.7
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 24.3
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.