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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 3, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Hornets35%9888
12Warriors65%10398
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 26.2
36.7
24.6
15
50%
1
9
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
5-11
3-7
45%
47%
1-3
33%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 25.0
34.0
19.6
17
67%
7
1
0
0
1
4
3
4
3-4
75%
7-11
3-7
64%
51%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.3
33.1
26.8
21
48%
5
3
2
1
0
0
0
5
10-11
91%
4-14
4-9
29%
48%
1-3
33%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.5
32.1
24.0
14
88%
5
4
3
1
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
7-8
2-5
88%
46%
0-0
-
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 20.1
31.6
31.8
6
25%
9
0
1
1
1
1
3
6
2-2
100%
2-11
6-12
18%
51%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.3
20.9
28.2
6
38%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
44%
0-3
0%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.9
20.1
28.4
3
19%
5
2
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-4
3-7
0%
48%
1-4
25%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.0
14.3
21.3
5
63%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.3
8.8
10.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.6
6.9
8.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 22.1
1.5
3.8
1
28%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-4
25%
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.6
9.7
0
1-1
44%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.9
4.5
0
0-1
47%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 27.1
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.9
37.9
30.1
23
65%
16
4
1
1
1
3
3
13
5-6
83%
9-15
6-11
60%
53%
0-0
-
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.1
36.0
37.0
20
63%
3
9
1
1
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
2-4
5-10
50%
49%
4-10
40%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 23.1
35.9
30.0
8
36%
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-9
3-6
44%
47%
0-2
0%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 28.3
26.4
24.0
4
33%
9
0
1
1
2
1
2
7
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
53%
0-0
-
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.8
19.4
28.0
10
46%
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
2-6
3-7
33%
51%
1-3
33%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.4
36.0
28.7
19
80%
3
8
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
7-10
4-8
70%
49%
1-1
100%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.5
18.9
19.1
8
51%
4
0
0
0
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
55%
0-0
-
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.1
16.3
11.9
4
52%
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.4
10.2
12.4
2
114%
4
1
0
0
2
0
3
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 23.8
1.6
5.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 32.8
1.5
5.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.0
3.6
0
0-0
55%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.