Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Mavericks	40%	101	94	106.8	88	84.3
	6	Nuggets	60%	104	95	106.7	89	93.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dirk Nowitzki F · 7'0" 245 · 35	35.0	13	65%	6	0	1	3	3	0	0	6	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-3	33%
Shawn Marion F · 6'7" 228 · 35	28.4	10	45%	6	2	2	0	1	3	2	4	0-0	-	5-10	50%	0-1	0%
Mike James G · 6'2" 188 · 38	25.0	6	43%	4	5	0	1	3	3	0	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Chris Kaman C · 7'0" 265 · 31	24.1	13	54%	9	2	0	1	1	3	3	6	1-2	50%	6-11	55%	0-0	-
O.J. Mayo G · 6'5" 210 · 25	23.1	4	33%	1	6	1	0	1	6	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%

Darren Collison G · 6'2" 185 · 26	30.0	11	55%	3	5	0	1	1	1	1	2	3-3	100%	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
Vince Carter G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36	25.8	11	39%	6	6	1	0	0	3	2	4	0-0	-	4-9	44%	1-5	20%
Brandan Wright F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25	23.6	16	53%	6	0	1	1	0	1	1	5	4-5	80%	6-13	46%	0-0	-
Anthony Morrow G · 6'5" 210 · 28	12.7	7	70%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Jae Crowder F · 6'6" 235 · 23	12.4	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Elton Brand F · 6'9" 254 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Bernard James C · 6'10" 235 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Rodrigue Beaubois # 3 · G · 6'2" 185 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jared Cunningham # 1 · G · 6'4" 194 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	50%	41	26	6	7	10	0	9	32	8-10	80%	37-70	53%	4-18	22%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

11 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dirk Nowitzki F · 7'0" 245 · 35	35.0	13	65%	6	0	1	3	3	0	0	6	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-3	33%
Shawn Marion F · 6'7" 228 · 35	28.4	10	45%	6	2	2	0	1	3	2	4	0-0	-	5-10	50%	0-1	0%
Mike James G · 6'2" 188 · 38	25.0	6	43%	4	5	0	1	3	3	0	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Chris Kaman C · 7'0" 265 · 31	24.1	13	54%	9	2	0	1	1	3	3	6	1-2	50%	6-11	55%	0-0	-
O.J. Mayo G · 6'5" 210 · 25	23.1	4	33%	1	6	1	0	1	6	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%

Darren Collison G · 6'2" 185 · 26	30.0	11	55%	3	5	0	1	1	1	1	2	3-3	100%	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
Vince Carter G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36	25.8	11	39%	6	6	1	0	0	3	2	4	0-0	-	4-9	44%	1-5	20%
Brandan Wright F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25	23.6	16	53%	6	0	1	1	0	1	1	5	4-5	80%	6-13	46%	0-0	-
Anthony Morrow G · 6'5" 210 · 28	12.7	7	70%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Jae Crowder F · 6'6" 235 · 23	12.4	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Elton Brand F · 6'9" 254 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Bernard James C · 6'10" 235 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Rodrigue Beaubois # 3 · G · 6'2" 185 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jared Cunningham # 1 · G · 6'4" 194 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	50%	41	26	6	7	10	0	9	32	8-10	80%	37-70	53%	4-18	22%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

6 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andre Iguodala G · 6'6" 215 · 29	40.5	8	29%	9	8	1	0	3	0	3	6	1-2	50%	2-10	20%	1-3	33%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 23	37.9	12	40%	19	1	2	4	0	3	8	11	4-8	50%	4-11	36%	0-0	-
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 37	32.8	22	65%	3	7	1	0	1	2	1	2	3-5	60%	8-13	62%	1-2	50%
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 24	21.0	4	25%	5	0	1	0	0	1	3	2	0-0	-	2-8	25%	0-0	-
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 25	16.1	9	50%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	3-6	50%	3-4	75%	0-3	0%

Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 27	34.5	23	55%	2	1	2	1	0	0	1	1	7-8	88%	5-12	42%	2-5	40%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 26	20.8	8	67%	5	0	0	0	2	5	1	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-2	100%
Evan Fournier G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20	19.1	3	25%	2	3	0	0	1	2	0	2	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
JaVale McGee C · 7'0" 270 · 25	14.8	4	40%	4	1	0	1	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Anthony Randolph · 6'10" 225 · 24	2.4	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jordan Hamilton G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Quincy Miller F · 6'9" 210 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Julyan Stone #10 · G · 6'6" 200 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Ty Lawson # 3 · G · 5'11" 195 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	45%	50	22	7	6	8	0	18	32	19-30	63%	29-72	40%	6-17	35%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.00 50.0%

DEN

0.90 45.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DAL

17

31

55%

DEN

20

46

43%

Midrange

DAL

20

39

51%

DEN

9

26

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DAL

4

6.0

18

22%

33%

DEN

6

9.0

17

35%

53%

Free Throws

DAL

8

10

80%

DEN

19

30

63%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Wright	16	53%	8.0 / 15
D. Nowitzki	13	65%	6.5 / 10
C. Kaman	13	54%	6.5 / 12
D. Collison	11	55%	5.5 / 10
V. Carter	11	39%	5.5 / 14
S. Marion	10	45%	5.0 / 11
A. Morrow	7	70%	3.5 / 5
M. James	6	43%	3.0 / 7
O. Mayo	4	33%	2.0 / 6
J. Crowder	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Brewer	23	55%	11.5 / 21
A. Miller	22	65%	11.0 / 17
K. Faried	12	40%	6.0 / 15
D. Gallinari	9	50%	4.5 / 9
A. Iguodala	8	29%	4.0 / 14
W. Chandler	8	67%	4.0 / 6
K. Koufos	4	25%	2.0 / 8
J. McGee	4	40%	2.0 / 5
E. Fournier	3	25%	1.5 / 6
A. Randolph	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 106.1 5 110.6	DAL 106.8 +0.1 DEN 106.7
Pace	7 94.0 2 95.0	DAL 84.3 DEN 93.1 +8.9
Avg. Poss. Time	26 15.0 29 14.6	DAL 17.1 DEN 15.5 −1.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 50.6% 7 51.5%	DAL 48.9% +6.2% DEN 42.7%
TO %	3 14.2% 18 15.3%	DAL 9.8% DEN 8.1% −1.7%
ORB %	28 21.8% 1 31.3%	DAL 22.0% DEN 36.0% +14.0%
FTrt	26 24.2 5 30.8	DAL 11.4 DEN 33.7 +22.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 59.9% 15 60.0%	DAL 63.4% +0.5% DEN 62.9%
STL %	17 8.3% 2 9.7%	DAL 6.8% DEN 7.9% +1.1%
BLK %	11 8.9% 2 10.4%	DAL 9.7% +1.1% DEN 8.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 53.0% 7 53.5%	DAL 50.0% +4.8% DEN 45.2%
Rim FG%	13 58.5% 6 60.5%	DAL 54.8% +11.3% DEN 43.5%
Mid FG%	3 42.4% 30 35.7%	DAL 51.3% +16.7% DEN 34.6%
3P %	6 37.2% 25 34.3%	DAL 22.2% DEN 35.3% +13.1%
FT %	2 79.3% 28 70.1%	DAL 80.0% +16.7% DEN 63.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	30 31.0% 1 50.1%	DAL 35.2% DEN 51.7% +16.5%
Mid Att. %	27 45.4% 2 28.2%	DAL 44.3% DEN 29.2% −15.1%
3P Att. %	15 23.6% 22 21.7%	DAL 20.5% +1.4% DEN 19.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.3 and 3.3.

Game Totals	DAL	DEN
Possessions	88	89
Possession Minutes	25.1	22.9
Points	94	95
Rebounds	41	50
Assists	26	22
Steals	6	7
Blocks	7	6
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	8 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (6)	18 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (5)	32 (1)
Field Goals	41-88	35-89
At-the-Rim FG	17-31	20-46
Midrange FG	20-39	9-26
2-Point FG	37-70	29-72
3-Point FG	4-18	6-17
Free Throws	8-10	19-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg