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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 6, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2376ers28%9087
9Heat72%98106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.8
39.1
37.0
18
52%
5
6
2
1
1
5
1
4
1-1
100%
4-13
6-13
31%
44%
3-4
75%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 33.2
32.2
31.1
7
34%
3
0
2
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
3-9
4-7
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.4
31.9
33.7
14
60%
5
5
0
1
0
1
1
4
2-4
50%
6-8
4-10
75%
44%
0-2
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.8
29.4
34.2
9
38%
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
4-11
6-11
36%
51%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 24.9
28.2
34.1
11
56%
11
0
1
0
0
1
3
8
1-2
50%
2-6
5-11
33%
47%
2-3
67%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 27.3
29.3
13.2
10
39%
7
0
0
0
0
0
3
4
3-4
75%
2-4
1-2
50%
45%
1-7
14%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.8
20.9
10.0
10
64%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
43%
0-3
0%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 24.2
15.9
15.8
6
44%
8
0
0
0
0
1
2
6
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 24.0
6.8
7.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.4
6.2
8.3
2
100%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 31.3
14.7
0
1-1
42%
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.1
4.2
0
0-1
42%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 31.1
3.2
0
0-1
50%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 25.4
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 32.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.3
29.7
13.4
27
76%
4
5
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
11-15
3-5
73%
58%
1-2
50%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.9
23.8
27.9
11
55%
3
4
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
3-8
38%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.1
22.6
26.6
3
50%
4
3
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.8
17.6
19.2
10
51%
5
0
0
0
1
1
1
4
2-2
100%
4-9
2-3
44%
50%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.7
17.4
5.9
2
33%
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
53%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.7
27.3
15.2
11
62%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-5
1-2
0%
51%
3-3
100%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.7
26.1
24.5
14
70%
7
3
1
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
49%
2-4
50%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.6
26.0
26.7
8
82%
0
5
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
48%
2-2
100%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34.7
25.4
15.8
7
40%
15
0
0
0
2
0
4
11
3-4
75%
2-7
2-3
29%
58%
0-0
-
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.5
24.3
26.7
13
50%
4
2
0
1
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
3-8
2-5
38%
45%
2-4
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 29.0
34.1
1
6-11
54%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.5
14.2
0
0-1
41%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 40.2
1.8
0
0-0
44%
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25.1
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.