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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 6, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Pistons35%96101
16Timberwolves65%101107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 21.3
40.9
30.8
25
71%
2
6
2
1
0
3
2
0
4-6
67%
6-11
3-7
55%
44%
3-4
75%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 22.8
32.3
34.0
16
58%
6
1
2
1
1
4
3
3
2-2
100%
7-12
7-14
58%
50%
0-1
0%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 19.7
30.8
19.3
9
77%
10
2
1
1
3
3
1
9
1-2
50%
4-5
3-6
80%
55%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.5
26.9
22.6
6
60%
2
4
3
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
50%
0-0
-
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.9
22.6
24.4
6
41%
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-3
67%
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.0
27.5
30.4
20
57%
8
4
0
1
1
5
1
7
4-6
67%
8-14
4-8
57%
45%
0-1
0%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.7
26.2
18.5
7
58%
3
4
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 26.1
23.5
24.5
7
60%
3
0
0
1
1
3
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
51%
1-2
50%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 28.6
9.3
17.7
5
50%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Kim English
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.5
9.3
0
1-1
45%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.3
5.8
0
1-2
47%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 33.4
3.9
0
0-1
45%
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 25.6
3.9
0
0-1
53%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.1
43.0
29.9
13
55%
6
3
7
1
2
2
2
4
4-4
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
54%
1-2
50%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 27.3
36.0
34.4
20
54%
13
2
0
1
0
1
6
7
6-8
75%
7-15
7-12
47%
55%
0-0
-
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.5
31.9
33.1
10
29%
5
6
5
2
0
3
1
4
8-9
89%
1-11
4-9
9%
42%
0-2
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.1
20.0
25.9
5
32%
1
3
2
1
0
2
1
0
3-4
75%
1-5
3-6
20%
51%
0-1
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.9
17.5
22.3
14
74%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
5-7
3-7
71%
49%
1-2
50%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.0
30.4
24.9
13
74%
4
1
1
1
2
0
2
2
3-4
75%
5-6
5-9
83%
50%
0-1
0%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.9
24.5
20.5
10
54%
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
2-3
67%
1-5
2-4
20%
50%
2-3
67%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.8
21.1
18.0
20
70%
1
6
1
0
0
4
0
1
0-3
0%
7-10
2-5
70%
47%
2-3
67%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.5
12.0
12.0
2
35%
4
0
0
0
1
0
3
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 24.3
3.7
12.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.6
9.1
0
1-3
49%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.9
3.6
0
0-1
54%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 27.7
2.5
0
0-1
54%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.7
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.