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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 6, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Raptors38%9883
15Bucks62%102100
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.9
26.1
33.6
12
52%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
6-6
100%
3-9
5-8
33%
55%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.9
25.0
27.3
2
14%
6
1
2
1
2
3
2
4
0-0
-
1-7
4-7
14%
56%
0-0
-
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.7
23.7
34.6
12
43%
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
6-14
7-14
43%
47%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 27.0
23.0
31.3
7
37%
4
4
0
1
0
3
1
3
0-1
0%
2-7
2-5
29%
46%
1-2
50%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.6
22.6
30.5
4
18%
8
2
0
1
1
1
3
5
2-2
100%
1-8
5-12
13%
47%
0-2
0%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22.2
27.9
14.6
11
56%
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
4-8
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 27.8
25.0
13.5
3
22%
2
7
3
0
0
3
0
2
3-4
75%
0-3
1-2
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
23.4
19.6
5
56%
5
1
0
1
1
2
0
5
1-1
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.5
21.8
13.7
14
67%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
5-7
1-3
71%
43%
1-3
33%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.5
21.0
10.2
13
74%
2
2
2
0
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
3-6
1-3
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.3
0.5
8.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.4
5.8
0
1-1
43%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 31.2
3.7
0
0-0
48%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 28.3
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.4
39.1
34.1
22
60%
4
9
6
2
0
5
0
4
10-10
100%
3-9
5-11
33%
49%
2-5
40%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.5
28.1
33.0
16
55%
2
7
3
1
0
0
1
1
0-1
0%
5-10
3-8
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.4
27.5
30.2
12
76%
9
1
1
1
6
1
0
9
2-2
100%
5-7
5-11
71%
52%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.9
26.2
32.9
9
38%
8
1
0
1
1
1
1
7
3-4
75%
3-6
5-11
50%
50%
0-4
0%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 32.2
21.5
18.4
4
67%
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
47%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.8
24.4
26.4
8
68%
0
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
3-3
3-5
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.6
24.3
16.0
10
57%
7
1
1
1
0
0
2
5
2-4
50%
4-7
2-4
57%
48%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.6
19.7
22.7
10
73%
0
2
0
0
1
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
2-4
50%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 28.0
17.8
6.6
4
34%
7
1
0
0
0
4
3
4
0-2
0%
2-5
1-2
40%
54%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.8
4.8
3.3
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
41%
0-0
-
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.3
3.7
4.3
2
100%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.5
2.8
3.6
1
17%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.9
6.0
0
1-2
52%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.5
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.