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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 6, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Hawks25%9297
4Spurs75%10299
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.3
43.0
12.8
9
36%
3
2
3
0
0
2
0
3
5-6
83%
2-9
1-2
22%
41%
0-1
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 27.2
30.7
6.1
11
44%
15
1
1
0
1
1
4
11
1-1
100%
5-12
1-2
42%
42%
0-0
-
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 29.0
28.9
22.4
14
50%
5
0
3
1
1
2
2
3
2-2
100%
6-12
3-7
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.8
25.2
18.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24.8
23.4
32.4
6
27%
3
6
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-10
4-9
30%
47%
0-1
0%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 24.7
36.5
4.6
22
59%
6
2
0
0
0
3
1
5
6-8
75%
8-14
1-1
57%
44%
0-1
0%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.1
27.8
4.8
23
99%
4
4
0
0
0
3
1
3
6-6
100%
4-6
0-1
67%
44%
3-3
100%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 23.0
24.6
16.7
12
55%
1
8
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-6
1-3
33%
42%
2-4
50%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 27.3
34.5
1
6-12
47%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.8
32.6
1
7-14
52%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 32.1
29.9
1
1-3
44%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 32.0
19.7
0
0-1
39%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.1
13.8
1
1-2
48%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 29.2
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.8
39.8
30.2
23
80%
6
4
2
2
2
3
0
6
8-10
80%
6-9
4-7
67%
56%
1-1
100%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.9
32.7
28.2
31
63%
14
3
0
1
4
3
0
14
7-8
88%
12-21
7-13
57%
52%
0-0
-
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.8
21.7
19.8
6
34%
7
3
0
1
0
3
2
5
2-2
100%
2-7
2-3
29%
50%
0-1
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.8
19.1
28.5
4
41%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-2
2-3
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28.3
16.2
24.6
5
43%
5
1
1
1
0
2
1
4
1-2
50%
2-5
4-7
40%
59%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.6
31.0
7.2
8
33%
3
3
0
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
4-9
1-2
44%
49%
0-3
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24.0
22.5
6.5
11
59%
7
2
1
0
1
1
2
5
3-3
100%
4-8
1-2
50%
54%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 35.0
18.9
20.1
9
65%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
47%
1-4
25%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.0
15.5
12.0
0
0%
0
2
0
0
4
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.5
13.5
25.0
2
25%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
3-5
100%
47%
0-3
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.0
9.2
24.8
0
0%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
56%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.7
10.2
0
1-2
51%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.9
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.7
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 26.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.